MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae950273f8ec0fcc74aabdfe975e552ca7bea6d9bae435b3414c5a3b53084a71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 14,875$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,409.07 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 3,676$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.9 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 3,293$2,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,422.89 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 1,428$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.54 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 1,384$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.6 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 74c | 1,315$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.77 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 744.63$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.67 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 684.88$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 534.92$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.05 | 163 | 51.5%84 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 511$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.72 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 488.6$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.93 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 484.69$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 439.37$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.14 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 30c | 419.79$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.85 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 228 | 49.1%112 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 12c | 381.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.93 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 371.38$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.88 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd7…33d9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 370.54$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.03 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 360.01$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.6 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 342.56$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.96 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 323.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 271 | 46.9%127 W · 144 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 323.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 323.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.86 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 300.81$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.58 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 218.6$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.83 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 214.49$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.84 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 206.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 116.21$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 115.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Milwaukee Brewers | 21c | 87.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 15c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 82 | 15.9%13 W · 69 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 66c | 74.21$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 15c | 72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 65.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 60.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…0e1abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 49.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 41.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 63c | 39.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 187 | 54%101 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 37.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 35.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 30.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 27.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 24.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 60c | 21.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 21.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 20.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x845b…6822backed Tampa Bay Rays | 69c | 15.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- NRFI: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.