TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Shenzhen Leopards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shenzhen Leopardsof Beijing Royal Fighters, Shenzhen Leopards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe4a4…ebccbacked Beijing Royal Fighters4c3,172$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fcd…445ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters4c2,400$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters71c2,278$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.3431651.6%163 W · 153 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Shenzhen Leopards68c2,219$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.637462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d6f…7135backed Beijing Royal Fighters11c2,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Beijing Royal Fighters41c1,987$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.3836939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Shenzhen Leopards53c1,887$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.882748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f57…3339backed Shenzhen Leopards42c1,884$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,101.331040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe56…593abacked Beijing Royal Fighters9c1,593$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f18…9aa7backed Beijing Royal Fighters9c1,546$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Beijing Royal Fighters12c1,525$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.88633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick18cpaid+162.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fb…c230backed Beijing Royal Fighters8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Beijing Royal Fighters34c1,414$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.2216235.2%57 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Shenzhen Leopards62c1,387$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7237052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…fc8abacked Beijing Royal Fighters6c1,262$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcc7…1af9backed Shenzhen Leopards66c1,216$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.181258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab3…5e13backed Beijing Royal Fighters5c1,150$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters43c1,086$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.383652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c1,058$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.136346%29 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Beijing Royal Fighters55c1,004$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.685848.3%28 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Beijing Royal Fighters32c937.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.531735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+22.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters6c900$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f4c…39c0backed Beijing Royal Fighters6c900$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Beijing Royal Fighters14c843.87$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.322259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Beijing Royal Fighters25c828.5$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.016137.7%23 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30f1…e639backed Beijing Royal Fighters47c783.02$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.881566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94ba…001dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters12c746$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x929e…1715backed Beijing Royal Fighters13c720$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x981c…306fbacked Shenzhen Leopards69c711.16$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.461172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4722…2abfbacked Beijing Royal Fighters13c700$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x276b…c0c8backed Beijing Royal Fighters13c700$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c14…68f3backed Beijing Royal Fighters2c680.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9892…8137backed Beijing Royal Fighters59c585.24$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.291952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed Beijing Royal Fighters35c555$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.01425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Beijing Royal Fighters36c526.71$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0928943.6%126 W · 163 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Beijing Royal Fighters13c500$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191a…b47dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Beijing Royal Fighters13c500$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters2c451.82$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.696116.4%10 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-60.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Beijing Royal Fighters15c450$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+139.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Beijing Royal Fighters12c449.93$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.57119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-79.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Beijing Royal Fighters8c430.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.588611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Beijing Royal Fighters28c417.88$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd607…6ddcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters12c400$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Beijing Royal Fighters12c383.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1921535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Beijing Royal Fighters35c357$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.122458.3%14 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Beijing Royal Fighters41c353.59$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14613046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bd…ed47backed Shenzhen Leopards59c329.97$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.752646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid+70.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c312$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.471435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371637.5%6 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.27per pick11cpaid+310.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Beijing Royal Fighters35c300$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.461650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9309…c705backed Beijing Royal Fighters12c300$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3720%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shenzhen Leopards64c299.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10824430.3%74 W · 170 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e8…f78fbacked Shenzhen Leopards61c289.83$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.687100%7 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a3b…acdebacked Beijing Royal Fighters34c281.14$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.051625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Beijing Royal Fighters32c280.23$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.352941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Beijing Royal Fighters39c271$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.666450%32 W · 32 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Beijing Royal Fighters29c268.34$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.493551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Beijing Royal Fighters14c245.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3443543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters28c240$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.792528%7 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Beijing Royal Fighters33c223$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+77.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Beijing Royal Fighters33c220$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.134045%18 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Beijing Royal Fighters61c207.64$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.979551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Shenzhen Leopards78c207.63$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.810947.7%52 W · 57 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Beijing Royal Fighters45c205.21$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4435234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed Beijing Royal Fighters13c200$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Shenzhen Leopards66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683528.6%10 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x56e0…1a3bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters41c199.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.994920.4%10 W · 39 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-48.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c196$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.232748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb33…fadebacked Beijing Royal Fighters59c193.7$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.481376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed Beijing Royal Fighters24c188$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed Beijing Royal Fighters24c185.86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.44540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Beijing Royal Fighters28c173$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.941735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Beijing Royal Fighters35c150$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.231346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Beijing Royal Fighters11c150$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+455.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters25c145.23$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.34551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Shenzhen Leopards69c142.23$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.098760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60da…a14ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters14c137.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.972634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c136$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.492035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked Shenzhen Leopards28c128.56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Beijing Royal Fighters13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Shenzhen Leopards69c97.42$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.213751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters36c90.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Beijing Royal Fighters33c81.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0325517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Shenzhen Leopards60c79.99$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dab…a38dbacked Shenzhen Leopards62c78.81$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.951241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters23c75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.416470.3%45 W · 19 L+11.5wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+29.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Shenzhen Leopards67c73.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.326848.5%33 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Shenzhen Leopards62c69.38$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.368453.6%45 W · 39 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Beijing Royal Fighters34c61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.762157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x371e…0f81backed Shenzhen Leopards67c58.8$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.61580%12 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Beijing Royal Fighters31c58.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.393040%12 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Beijing Royal Fighters33c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9619748.2%95 W · 102 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Beijing Royal Fighters31c57.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9620936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Beijing Royal Fighters32c53$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.213336.4%12 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Beijing Royal Fighters31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.527338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed Shenzhen Leopards46c48.32$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…d8adbacked Shenzhen Leopards67c42.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.116100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.