MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e8bf24cea9fd9d6c3656e445932c42748caf547f4dd4dd09c1b586aba897821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $259,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $265,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $259,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 50c | 194,032$96,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,396.2 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 59,668$29,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,834.06 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 51c | 22,407$11,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,326.57 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 50c | 16,107$8,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,055.68 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 50c | 14,837$7,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,410.21 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 51c | 14,706$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500.06 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 11,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 51c | 8,779$4,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,477.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 8,312$4,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.75 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Over | 49c | 8,160$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,161.6 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 50c | 6,945$3,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.73 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 6,532$3,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,266 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 5,494$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745.16 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 0c | 5,441$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…4385backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 3,321$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.36 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 50c | 2,662$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.18 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,201$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.79 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 73c | 1,832$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.57 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 46c | 1,782$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.27 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 50c | 1,701$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.5 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 50c | 1,629$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.56 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 1,421$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.36 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 45c | 1,408$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.38 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 50c | 1,190$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.04 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 1,177$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 68c | 999.24$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.95 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Under | 1c | 900$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 62c | 891.93$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.4 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 831.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 45c | 820$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Under | 50c | 730$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 57c | 531$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.78 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 57c | 525.93$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 48c | 519.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Under | 11c | 499.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under | 14c | 497.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -10.5wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 51c | 461$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 54c | 444.53$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 49c | 420$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Under | 51c | 389.13$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.46 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 73c | 372.26$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.26 | 27 | 92.6%25 W · 2 L | +9.8wins | +0.36per pick | 56cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 71c | 341.92$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed Under | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 310.54$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Over | 54c | 279.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.52 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 275.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 49c | 269.41$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.01 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb453…ab57backed Over | 49c | 263.04$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 51c | 245.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Under | 20c | 231.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed Over | 51c | 227.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.8wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 50c | 220.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.11 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Over | 51c | 219.27$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Over | 51c | 208.06$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.95 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 23c | 161.86$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 143.95$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 50c | 134.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.89 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…abc4backed Over | 41c | 109.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 51c | 107.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 28c | 107$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -10.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Over | 60c | 102.88$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f1…3fd9backed Over | 50c | 100.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc7…7f02backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 4.8%4 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 50c | 92.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Under | 57c | 87.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 49c | 86.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.48 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 56c | 74.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 47c | 74.46$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 56c | 69.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked Over | 51c | 68.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 51c | 68.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee5c…2775backed Over | 17c | 61.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +94%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…183ebacked Under | 43c | 59.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 47c | 55.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…3b00backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 73c | 48.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 41.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle MarinersSeattle Mariners won
- NRFI: Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle MarinersYes won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Seattle Mariners won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.