Cricket · resolved market
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3ea840d2c9004cc9df53cfa4fdc87ec67d8f1400522dd88cc9fe490aefea1e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royal Challengers Bengaluruof Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Sunrisers Hyderabad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5762…8b48backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a2…1e45backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 63c | 4,596$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.76 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 46c | 4,404$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.67 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e42…8f95backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 54c | 933.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 2c | 900$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 35c | 767.94$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.86 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…26d6backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 53c | 667.92$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…4d7fbacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 53c | 318.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +122.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 11cpaid | +179.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 13cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1071…e39ebacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…6344backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 54c | 232.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 46c | 218$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 15cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 51c | 176.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f3…9afbbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 14c | 101.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…7ffabacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 46c | 89.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…ab70backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 90 | 34.4%31 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0c…ca14backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 57c | 47.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +12.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 34c | 37.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…bedcbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405e…8d33backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 53c | 25.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb061…3deebacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362e…5ef9backed Sunrisers Hyderabad | 48c | 20.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…e0b2backed Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 54c | 19.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru | 65c | 17.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabad - Who wins the toss?this page
- Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers HyderabadRoyal Challengers Bengaluru won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.