Lol · resolved market
LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4bd0e5e727b0ec226fbadfdbbc13004309e77fe106faa44559afa1ef4ddabf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CCG Esportsof Supernova, CCG Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf87…2974backed Supernova | 1c | 3,091$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Supernova | 61c | 2,402$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.44 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Supernova | 39c | 1,693$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.09 | 495 | 49.1%243 W · 252 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83af…4084backed Supernova | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked CCG Esports | 47c | 1,345$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.26 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Supernova | 53c | 1,265$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.54 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Supernova | 49c | 928.88$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.99 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Supernova | 37c | 704.42$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.42 | 194 | 37.6%73 W · 121 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Supernova | 62c | 700$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed CCG Esports | 43c | 581.76$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.58 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed CCG Esports | 55c | 552.62$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.06 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed CCG Esports | 38c | 508.47$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.25 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Supernova | 41c | 496.24$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.84 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…7354backed CCG Esports | 49c | 475.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.14 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed CCG Esports | 38c | 457.08$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.39 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Supernova | 56c | 454.55$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.55 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Supernova | 15c | 454.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a8…48c0backed CCG Esports | 54c | 418.55$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Supernova | 60c | 408.34$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed CCG Esports | 36c | 368.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.71 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked CCG Esports | 56c | 348.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.5 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Supernova | 4c | 340$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Supernova | 58c | 338.4$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.94 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked CCG Esports | 39c | 334.67$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.15 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CCG Esports | 57c | 329.53$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.26 | 599 | 52.8%316 W · 283 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa935…47eabacked CCG Esports | 66c | 316.14$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked CCG Esports | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Supernova | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Supernova | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked CCG Esports | 38c | 294.69$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.71 | 434 | 42.4%184 W · 250 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked Supernova | 32c | 292.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.25 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Supernova | 40c | 271.83$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.73 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…f9b2backed CCG Esports | 52c | 267.08$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.2 | 404 | 46%186 W · 218 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed CCG Esports | 39c | 259.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb80d…0ac1backed CCG Esports | 39c | 240.79$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 505 | 47.7%241 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked CCG Esports | 43c | 234.45$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.64 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed CCG Esports | 46c | 211.83$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.58 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Supernova | 54c | 205.6$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.03 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked CCG Esports | 38c | 192.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed CCG Esports | 38c | 192.56$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.39 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CCG Esports | 78c | 174.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.91 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed CCG Esports | 39c | 173.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed CCG Esports | 36c | 160.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Supernova | 67c | 146.7$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed CCG Esports | 39c | 128.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed CCG Esports | 39c | 123.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8066…eb03backed CCG Esports | 39c | 123.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed CCG Esports | 39c | 123.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.07 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked CCG Esports | 15c | 122.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.91 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…682bbacked Supernova | 64c | 109.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.82 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcb…5085backed CCG Esports | 51c | 104.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 236 | 56.8%134 W · 102 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…9010backed Supernova | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9309…c705backed CCG Esports | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Supernova | 50c | 96.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked CCG Esports | 49c | 95.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b0…38c4backed CCG Esports | 39c | 94.83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4e…5973backed CCG Esports | 52c | 92.81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.24 | 557 | 44%245 W · 312 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Supernova | 21c | 83.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed CCG Esports | 39c | 81.86$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed CCG Esports | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed CCG Esports | 36c | 74.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.62 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59cc…b1babacked CCG Esports | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…c953backed CCG Esports | 48c | 71.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed CCG Esports | 52c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CCG Esports | 38c | 63.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed CCG Esports | 43c | 62.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Supernova | 36c | 61.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 247 | 36%89 W · 158 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…354ebacked CCG Esports | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked Supernova | 56c | 53.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked CCG Esports | 38c | 53.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…d068backed Supernova | 57c | 53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed CCG Esports | 65c | 52.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Supernova | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Supernova | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…839ebacked CCG Esports | 39c | 49.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3f…233cbacked CCG Esports | 39c | 49.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Supernova | 42c | 40.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…5c58backed Supernova | 52c | 39.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Supernova | 61c | 39.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Supernova | 52c | 38.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +24.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed CCG Esports | 38c | 38.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed CCG Esports | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed CCG Esports | 71c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CCG Esports | 44c | 37.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed CCG Esports | 39c | 36.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed Supernova | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed CCG Esports | 39c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Supernova | 38c | 32.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed CCG Esports | 45c | 31.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1995…84c6backed CCG Esports | 46c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…ea34backed Supernova | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 440 | 62.7%276 W · 164 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…bf9ebacked CCG Esports | 45c | 27.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Supernova | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…5ab9backed Supernova | 58c | 20.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Supernova | 53c | 20.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113d…a76bbacked Supernova | 65c | 16.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: SN (-1.5) vs CCG Esports (+1.5)CCG Esports won
- LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonCCG Esports won
- LoL: Supernova vs CCG Esports - Game 2 WinnerCCG Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.