Tennis · resolved market
Miyazaki: Ognjen Milic vs Blake Ellis
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8d3f11484dc9c84eae1ce201da8e3979edcbb98f9856f29d2350912da7d4b04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blake Ellisof Ognjen Milic, Blake Ellis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Blake Ellis | 54c | 13,569$7,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,296.19 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…bc2dbacked Ognjen Milic | 0c | 10,566$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ognjen Milic | 51c | 10,271$5,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,254.76 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc3…c0eabacked Ognjen Milic | 42c | 10,204$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.39 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…4417backed Ognjen Milic | 0c | 4,720$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…1715backed Ognjen Milic | 5c | 3,470$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 7cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blake Ellis | 44c | 2,962$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.98 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Ognjen Milic | 5c | 2,800$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +212%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Blake Ellis | 19c | 2,237$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.59 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Blake Ellis | 65c | 2,150$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.47 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Ognjen Milic | 3c | 2,060$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Blake Ellis | 63c | 1,660$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.61 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f18…9aa7backed Ognjen Milic | 10c | 1,470$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +116.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…ebccbacked Ognjen Milic | 10c | 1,470$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…d48abacked Ognjen Milic | 3c | 1,246$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Ognjen Milic | 2c | 1,137$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 4cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Blake Ellis | 51c | 907.66$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.52 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Blake Ellis | 26c | 859.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.6 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Ognjen Milic | 65c | 851.31$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.36 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d94…593ebacked Ognjen Milic | 11c | 800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +7.9wins | +0.33per pick | 25cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…2abfbacked Ognjen Milic | 11c | 800$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.33per pick | 11cpaid | +207.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Blake Ellis | 53c | 757.29$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.27 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Ognjen Milic | 12c | 736.01$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Blake Ellis | 14c | 677.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.59 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…55aabacked Ognjen Milic | 10c | 600$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 10cpaid | +156.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Ognjen Milic | 12c | 540$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.2 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Blake Ellis | 21c | 464.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.15 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…a506backed Ognjen Milic | 43c | 451.22$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Blake Ellis | 35c | 445.06$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.29 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Ognjen Milic | 65c | 435.71$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.21 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Ognjen Milic | 64c | 389.82$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.49 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Blake Ellis | 36c | 337.11$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.75 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Blake Ellis | 19c | 315.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 128 | 31.3%40 W · 88 L | -20.8wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blake Ellis | 21c | 285.78$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.77 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Blake Ellis | 23c | 282.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.71 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Ognjen Milic | 79c | 246.89$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.76 | 1,861 | 44.4%827 W · 1,034 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Ognjen Milic | 44c | 229.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2480…c148backed Ognjen Milic | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Blake Ellis | 36c | 194.44$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 262 | 54.6%143 W · 119 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Blake Ellis | 15c | 182.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.51 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Ognjen Milic | 22c | 173$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Blake Ellis | 21c | 144.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Blake Ellis | 16c | 142.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Ognjen Milic | 18c | 133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ognjen Milic | 14c | 131.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Blake Ellis | 37c | 130.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.91 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Ognjen Milic | 62c | 126.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Blake Ellis | 59c | 105.12$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Ognjen Milic | 63c | 99.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Blake Ellis | 42c | 94.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.07 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Blake Ellis | 36c | 91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Ognjen Milic | 50c | 78.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 237 | 59.1%140 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Blake Ellis | 26c | 67.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.81 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Blake Ellis | 37c | 55.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Ognjen Milic | 78c | 52.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.32 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ognjen Milic | 71c | 46.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Blake Ellis | 36c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Ognjen Milic | 43c | 40.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2c…359fbacked Ognjen Milic | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Ognjen Milic | 58c | 33.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 308 | 53.6%165 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Ognjen Milic | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Blake Ellis | 39c | 30.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…8e5fbacked Ognjen Milic | 58c | 30.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…c3a9backed Blake Ellis | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Ognjen Milic | 64c | 29.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Ognjen Milic | 79c | 28.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Ognjen Milic | 59c | 26.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Ognjen Milic | 47c | 22.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 701 | 48.2%338 W · 363 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fc…7cc1backed Ognjen Milic | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.