TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sao Paulo: Alex Barrena vs Juan Pablo Varillas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alex Barrenaof Alex Barrena, Juan Pablo Varillas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,162
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$111,267

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,162 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Juan Pablo Varillas40c6,023$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,406.662,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alex Barrena45c5,089$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,817.8811,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Alex Barrena36c3,634$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,333.6624438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Alex Barrena13c3,517$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,067.4830225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ce…99f6backed Juan Pablo Varillas32c3,027$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.9117936.9%66 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Alex Barrena36c2,215$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.8333556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xac14…415abacked Juan Pablo Varillas2c2,031$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.322814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x523e…3128backed Alex Barrena63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.988544.7%38 W · 47 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Juan Pablo Varillas39c1,404$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.288,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Juan Pablo Varillas57c1,403$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.582,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Alex Barrena65c1,331$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.693,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Alex Barrena50c1,261$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.1135932.6%117 W · 242 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Alex Barrena47c1,209$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.0629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x423c…25d5backed Alex Barrena13c1,175$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.510317.5%18 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Juan Pablo Varillas31c1,137$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Alex Barrena37c994.59$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.597346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Alex Barrena17c988.94$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.941,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alex Barrena64c819.18$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.472,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Alex Barrena61c796.37$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.516,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c89…526abacked Alex Barrena13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2324638.2%94 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Alex Barrena47c722.29$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.534,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Juan Pablo Varillas76c647.27$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.234,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Alex Barrena35c571.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.7968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Juan Pablo Varillas15c569.34$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.471,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Juan Pablo Varillas59c562.61$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.474,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Alex Barrena44c561$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.873,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Juan Pablo Varillas37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Alex Barrena48c499.98$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.993063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas49c482.11$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.0280938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Alex Barrena14c471.9$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Alex Barrena28c471$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.9526941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…6af2backed Juan Pablo Varillas56c408.89$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.5912835.2%45 W · 83 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Juan Pablo Varillas55c363.28$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.82,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Alex Barrena55c338.32$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.3272542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb070…4761backed Juan Pablo Varillas39c337.59$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.51729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-49.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Juan Pablo Varillas53c333.75$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.41,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Alex Barrena67c296.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.748650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Alex Barrena40c288.76$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.331,67850.8%852 W · 826 L+30.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d6…2546backed Alex Barrena38c262.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.562958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Alex Barrena39c257.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2339955.4%221 W · 178 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a46…196cbacked Juan Pablo Varillas29c255.1$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.984837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Alex Barrena36c225$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14414344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Juan Pablo Varillas52c221.28$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0765849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Alex Barrena69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.3950364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Alex Barrena47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.779755.7%54 W · 43 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e5…293bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas52c209.62$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10910962.4%68 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alex Barrena65c202.26$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.667,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x92f7…f95bbacked Juan Pablo Varillas23c198.06$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Juan Pablo Varillas53c190$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.710242.2%43 W · 59 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Juan Pablo Varillas57c186.93$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.216,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Alex Barrena44c185.94$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1358734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Juan Pablo Varillas19c169.47$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.731,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Alex Barrena24c167.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.083,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Alex Barrena48c160.72$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5717447.7%83 W · 91 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Alex Barrena66c159.09$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0994549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Alex Barrena65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Juan Pablo Varillas53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.59745.4%44 W · 53 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Alex Barrena70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8616447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked Alex Barrena68c141$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1223248.3%112 W · 120 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Alex Barrena72c137.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.528247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c8…68d7backed Alex Barrena63c136.03$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3315742%66 W · 91 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Alex Barrena28c135.37$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9157267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Juan Pablo Varillas65c128.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.927,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Juan Pablo Varillas57c127.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.34637%17 W · 29 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Alex Barrena39c122.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3524460.7%148 W · 96 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Juan Pablo Varillas55c121.78$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.983857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Alex Barrena47c119$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3146556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Alex Barrena74c114.97$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8943062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…9541backed Alex Barrena47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.382665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Alex Barrena47c106$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Alex Barrena39c103.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.0632050%160 W · 160 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Juan Pablo Varillas16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1616718.6%31 W · 136 L-23.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Juan Pablo Varillas53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5330452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…c2d9backed Alex Barrena47c91.19$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.333959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c6a…c76abacked Juan Pablo Varillas55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502634.6%9 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Juan Pablo Varillas35c88.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.141,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Juan Pablo Varillas35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3044448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Alex Barrena47c85$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0546848.5%227 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Alex Barrena19c79.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.813732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa81…e575backed Juan Pablo Varillas19c78.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2608…4468backed Alex Barrena26c76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.241827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Alex Barrena76c71.7$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4455660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Juan Pablo Varillas56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alex Barrena65c70.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.032,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Alex Barrena67c69.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.172,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Juan Pablo Varillas52c66.42$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.547,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Alex Barrena47c64$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9229244.5%130 W · 162 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed Alex Barrena46c60.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8237156.3%209 W · 162 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Alex Barrena45c59$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.4554434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Alex Barrena46c57.3$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9424249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c38…291fbacked Alex Barrena29c55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2510155.4%56 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf73f…8ba0backed Alex Barrena42c54.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5532837.5%123 W · 205 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde48…accbbacked Juan Pablo Varillas53c52.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.847254.2%39 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Alex Barrena37c50.89$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9816369.3%113 W · 50 L+16.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+14.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x56cd…2ddcbacked Alex Barrena68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1623249.1%114 W · 118 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c67…e838backed Juan Pablo Varillas56c49.43$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.47714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-80.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Alex Barrena43c46.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6810971.6%78 W · 31 L+11.9wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Alex Barrena48c46.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2434950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Juan Pablo Varillas52c45.04$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.421,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Juan Pablo Varillas53c45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.8589364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.