TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Oklahoma Sooners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas A&M Aggiesof Texas A&M Aggies, Oklahoma Sooners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x777d…5143backed Texas A&M Aggies52c36,409$19,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,401.725347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Oklahoma Sooners48c28,000$13,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,44012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Oklahoma Sooners20c6,132$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,252.925,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma Sooners47c5,524$2,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,606.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Oklahoma Sooners25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00022043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Oklahoma Sooners30c3,726$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,116.924,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Oklahoma Sooners49c3,335$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.12,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Oklahoma Sooners35c3,082$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.433,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Oklahoma Sooners10c2,880$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.922,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas A&M Aggies76c2,720$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.481,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Texas A&M Aggies79c2,594$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.5214930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Texas A&M Aggies67c2,336$1,565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.211,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Oklahoma Sooners20c2,303$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.7481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Texas A&M Aggies50c2,140$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.5374051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d2…4c2cbacked Texas A&M Aggies51c1,940$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.5815748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Oklahoma Sooners38c1,880$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.662,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Texas A&M Aggies64c1,577$1,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3716350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Oklahoma Sooners48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9812646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed Texas A&M Aggies52c1,334$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.324146.3%19 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Oklahoma Sooners50c1,324$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.2321646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Oklahoma Sooners36c1,304$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.291,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Texas A&M Aggies73c1,205$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.093,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Oklahoma Sooners10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007646.1%35 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Oklahoma Sooners15c929.34$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.844,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Oklahoma Sooners8c650$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Texas A&M Aggies70c590.3$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Texas A&M Aggies78c573$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.922,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Oklahoma Sooners50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25081453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas A&M Aggies67c491.24$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.975,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Texas A&M Aggies49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1624847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Oklahoma Sooners49c404.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Texas A&M Aggies51c392$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.0878052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Oklahoma Sooners49c329$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.211,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Oklahoma Sooners48c315.27$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.621,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Texas A&M Aggies50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15093447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Oklahoma Sooners19c294$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8655840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350b…41e8backed Texas A&M Aggies75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674057.5%23 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb431…b654backed Oklahoma Sooners51c247.92$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a2c…f983backed Texas A&M Aggies76c200.09$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Texas A&M Aggies60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805942.4%25 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas A&M Aggies49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Oklahoma Sooners36c199.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6349345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Texas A&M Aggies52c198$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.041,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Oklahoma Sooners33c185.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.281,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Oklahoma Sooners21c180.49$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4117627.8%49 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Oklahoma Sooners9c180.19$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0814049.3%69 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Oklahoma Sooners38c175$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.553635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Texas A&M Aggies68c170.12$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7857655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Oklahoma Sooners21c160.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.661,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Texas A&M Aggies63c159.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.3740252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Texas A&M Aggies64c155.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8262140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83ea…c2efbacked Texas A&M Aggies51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2523054.3%125 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Oklahoma Sooners49c127.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.581,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d6f…5439backed Oklahoma Sooners37c108.74$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed Oklahoma Sooners10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Texas A&M Aggies50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5035243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3212…9541backed Texas A&M Aggies51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.04785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+72.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6c6a…c76abacked Oklahoma Sooners51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.36per pick51cpaid-74%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe545…5bacbacked Oklahoma Sooners22c90.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6610347.6%49 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Oklahoma Sooners21c88$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3299848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8d9…df36backed Texas A&M Aggies52c84.29$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.4614553.1%77 W · 68 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Texas A&M Aggies74c80$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89845.9%45 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Texas A&M Aggies65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.923857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…69a1backed Texas A&M Aggies54c74.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Texas A&M Aggies52c72.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.823948.1%115 W · 124 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Oklahoma Sooners24c69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.513,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf392…bb0dbacked Texas A&M Aggies49c63.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Texas A&M Aggies49c63.87$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.571154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ee…0575backed Oklahoma Sooners48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8c…1977backed Texas A&M Aggies49c61.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Texas A&M Aggies53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.252353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f03…ed48backed Texas A&M Aggies49c58.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.591172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca2…8688backed Texas A&M Aggies53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Texas A&M Aggies66c52.77$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.042,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Oklahoma Sooners49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.549157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Oklahoma Sooners49c49.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.421955.3%121 W · 98 L+13.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Texas A&M Aggies52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0849849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Texas A&M Aggies52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0839050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Oklahoma Sooners41c43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.84351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Oklahoma Sooners50c42.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3137835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcffd…7f24backed Texas A&M Aggies52c41.73$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.031968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15b8…89e4backed Oklahoma Sooners51c40.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0ce3…ef1abacked Oklahoma Sooners49c40.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Oklahoma Sooners33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.264658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef53…d430backed Oklahoma Sooners49c39.12$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Oklahoma Sooners48c37.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Oklahoma Sooners33c35.11$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.481,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Oklahoma Sooners39c30.64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9532246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Texas A&M Aggies67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Oklahoma Sooners51c29.82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2192246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Oklahoma Sooners50c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4515037.3%56 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…688ebacked Texas A&M Aggies80c24.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0112…4fe9backed Texas A&M Aggies54c23.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.873447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Texas A&M Aggies72c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631666.1%209 W · 107 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x839f…5f1fbacked Texas A&M Aggies50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f3…c5c2backed Texas A&M Aggies74c16.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.177176.1%54 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick72cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Texas A&M Aggies79c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.130945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.