MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0544464e1e658ebd7bba8b1c7ca03af5e4734f2a287af24455f7cbae565e9d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Cubsof Milwaukee Brewers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,762
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,762 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Milwaukee Brewers | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 60 | 76.7%46 W · 14 L | +10.4wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Milwaukee Brewers | 0c | 7,373$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 2,790$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.48 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Chicago Cubs | 58c | 2,636$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.68 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -17.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 2,242$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.16 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 1,498$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.27 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 1,269$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.36 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Chicago Cubs | 54c | 1,125$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.29 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 931.26$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.14 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 849.23$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.3 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 789.6$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 601$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.63 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 580.65$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.61 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 552$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 472.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.24 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 337.18$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Chicago Cubs | 58c | 327.29$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 299.44$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 283.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.27 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 259.12$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 244.92$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 238.38$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 207.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 205.92$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Cubs | 77c | 189.92$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 187.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago Cubs | 54c | 169.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 166$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.83 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 156$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 134.13$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.97 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 134$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Chicago Cubs | 52c | 129.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Milwaukee Brewers | 11c | 115.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 114.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…9541backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 110.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…c76abacked Chicago Cubs | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 91.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.13 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x612c…46a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 24c | 86.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Chicago Cubs | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 69.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 22c | 57.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Chicago Cubs | 80c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Chicago Cubs | 55c | 36.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Chicago Cubs | 59c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…4523backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 28.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Chicago Cubs | 53c | 28.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b45…d5f4backed Chicago Cubs | 57c | 27.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Cubs | 71c | 27.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Chicago Cubs | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.