MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb30ae19a4fdea0422d58d1788e49c2bdf78af66fd119c166193e509157aa1c6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Athletics, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,894 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Athletics | 55c | 1,244$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.34 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 763.62$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.76 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Colorado Rockies | 44c | 553.49$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.57 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 515.74$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.34 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Athletics | 61c | 437.7$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.91 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 45c | 221.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Colorado Rockies | 44c | 182.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.04 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Athletics | 55c | 181.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c6a…c76abacked Colorado Rockies | 47c | 148.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…9541backed Athletics | 55c | 126.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 126$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.34 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Athletics | 54c | 122.22$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Athletics | 55c | 120$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Athletics | 33c | 119.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Athletics | 56c | 109.14$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Colorado Rockies | 43c | 102.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Athletics | 25c | 100.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…a69bbacked Athletics | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 90$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…0b31backed Athletics | 62c | 88.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Colorado Rockies | 35c | 76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Athletics | 20c | 68.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…247dbacked Colorado Rockies | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colorado Rockies | 74c | 55.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Athletics | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d40…ef02backed Athletics | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Athletics | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…7652backed Athletics | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b8…9592backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 194 | 69.1%134 W · 60 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Athletics | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed Athletics | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.