Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 152.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccfeb9392378fc910686eff209a154d7acb8d45ba13fa3cda035a24c0fa80866
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,316 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 52c | 2,730$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 1,825$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.65 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 1,786$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.54 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 1,293$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.93 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 15c | 553.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.38 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Under | 48c | 520.41$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.62 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 502.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 37c | 486.75$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Over | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Under | 77c | 364.97$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 48c | 216.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.81 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 189.93$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.54 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 164.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 53c | 148.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 218 | 50.5%110 W · 108 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Under | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 103.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 103.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f0…96bebacked Under | 47c | 94.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 50c | 81.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 62c | 70.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…a8dbbacked Over | 44c | 68.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 66.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 59c | 59.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 53.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…2bb7backed Under | 73c | 40.84$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 57c | 32.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 31.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 36c | 29.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 52c | 29.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 50c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Under | 75c | 29.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 37c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 152.5this page
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-3.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-1.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-10.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-4.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-5.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-7.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-9.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine AnteatersUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 142.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 145.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 146.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 149.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 150.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 151.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 153.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.