Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe87725ee8cecd8387615794233a0950135304ea8d8bb85fae50c7d029aa02438
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNLV Runnin' Rebelsof UC Irvine Anteaters, UNLV Runnin' Rebels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,050 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 8,824$4,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,130.12 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 4,406$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.81 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 2,424$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 55c | 1,802$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.09 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc15…db79backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 1,358$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 54c | 1,254$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.18 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…1cd2backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 872.33$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 762.9$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.19 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 55c | 706.39$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.88 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 15c | 663.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 56c | 619.64$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 23c | 529.58$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8e…9c9bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 53c | 495.64$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 52c | 344.85$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.53 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 31c | 302.27$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 70c | 179.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 29c | 176.27$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 23c | 172.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 45c | 107.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 68c | 101.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 57c | 99.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.54 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 73c | 83.53$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 41c | 77.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 59c | 76.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 52c | 61.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 33c | 59.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed UNLV Runnin' Rebels | 77c | 56.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe856…4711backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 43c | 50.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 46.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed UC Irvine Anteaters | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 47c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked UC Irvine Anteaters | 45c | 34.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)this page
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-3.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-1.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-10.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-4.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-5.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-7.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-9.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine AnteatersUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 142.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 145.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 146.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 149.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 150.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 151.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 152.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 153.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.