Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91cb689cf71b479a23c86b7b259e8f00fd08c07af3cdf8bd6b4942f58dbaebb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,132
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,132 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 18,365$9,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,143.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Over | 50c | 17,112$8,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,544.9 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 49c | 12,083$5,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,977.15 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 4,041$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.84 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 50c | 3,965$1,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.5 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 3,619$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.62 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 51c | 1,983$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.08 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 1,561$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.13 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 793$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.5 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 50c | 743.44$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.72 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 50c | 277.55$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Under | 50c | 247.81$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 50c | 194.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 51c | 156.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 153.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 102.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 51c | 89.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Under | 50c | 89.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +58%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Under | 50c | 52.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…2037backed Over | 51c | 52.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 50c | 49.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Under | 51c | 36.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bad…1d19backed Under | 50c | 32.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Under | 50c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Under | 49c | 25.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 50c | 22.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x917e…eed9backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 60c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…52d4backed Under | 73c | 16.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 153.5this page
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-1.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-2.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UC Irvine Anteaters (-3.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-1.5)UNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-10.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-4.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-5.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-7.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- Spread: UNLV Runnin' Rebels (-9.5)UC Irvine Anteaters won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine AnteatersUNLV Runnin' Rebels won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 142.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 145.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 146.5Over won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 149.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 150.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 151.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 152.5Under won
- UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. UC Irvine Anteaters: O/U 155.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.