TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Dayana Yastremska

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jelena Ostapenkoof Jelena Ostapenko, Dayana Yastremska
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,876

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,876 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Jelena Ostapenko64c6,515$4,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.742,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Dayana Yastremska35c6,258$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,178.072,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Dayana Yastremska40c5,000$1,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.0966949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Jelena Ostapenko60c4,373$2,605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.223658.3%21 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jelena Ostapenko80c2,766$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.042,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Dayana Yastremska17c2,042$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.012,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Dayana Yastremska10c2,035$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jelena Ostapenko61c1,986$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.736,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Dayana Yastremska36c1,914$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.061,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Dayana Yastremska27c1,669$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.382,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dayana Yastremska40c1,614$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.911,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dayana Yastremska41c1,517$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.381,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9175…bd29backed Dayana Yastremska40c1,460$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.998446.4%39 W · 45 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Dayana Yastremska40c1,199$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.64,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Dayana Yastremska10c1,092$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9366139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Dayana Yastremska32c990.8$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.886,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jelena Ostapenko65c786.51$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.47,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Jelena Ostapenko63c748.36$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.766553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Dayana Yastremska41c663.55$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.122,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Dayana Yastremska41c637.55$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.237230.4%113 W · 259 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Jelena Ostapenko59c600$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24633241.6%138 W · 194 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Jelena Ostapenko62c599.99$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.122548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Dayana Yastremska16c501.81$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.299,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Jelena Ostapenko66c500.15$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0450731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Dayana Yastremska20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed Jelena Ostapenko59c499.99$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Jelena Ostapenko52c445.92$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.1918548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Dayana Yastremska40c443.22$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.7428541.1%117 W · 168 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Dayana Yastremska50c401.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f0…96bebacked Jelena Ostapenko60c381.8$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.8850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Dayana Yastremska41c358.42$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.451,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a12…d3febacked Dayana Yastremska41c353$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.739247.8%44 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Jelena Ostapenko65c350$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51,86144.4%827 W · 1,034 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jelena Ostapenko66c347.87$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Dayana Yastremska41c324.37$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.234,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Jelena Ostapenko59c322.03$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.0311959.7%71 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Dayana Yastremska32c277.44$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Jelena Ostapenko59c248.3$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.681,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f7…d106backed Dayana Yastremska7c233.37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812227%33 W · 89 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72b2…963dbacked Dayana Yastremska14c232.85$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.42333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04eb…f50dbacked Jelena Ostapenko61c222.85$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.8629461.9%182 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Jelena Ostapenko59c220.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.3443448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Dayana Yastremska20c220.02$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1444038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Dayana Yastremska39c217$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.527,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Jelena Ostapenko60c214.52$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8155660.3%335 W · 221 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jelena Ostapenko60c211.25$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.92,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Jelena Ostapenko61c201.89$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.3732842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Jelena Ostapenko58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Jelena Ostapenko62c180.65$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.659870.4%69 W · 29 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Dayana Yastremska43c159$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.371,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Jelena Ostapenko64c156$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1638268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Jelena Ostapenko67c150.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1612944.2%57 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dayana Yastremska33c139.89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.32,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Dayana Yastremska36c136.5$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.911,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Jelena Ostapenko62c111.53$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.381,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Jelena Ostapenko52c108$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.996844.4%430 W · 538 L-1.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Jelena Ostapenko52c105.12$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4125743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Dayana Yastremska41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4127344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed Jelena Ostapenko59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4124055%132 W · 108 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Dayana Yastremska41c95.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.321,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Jelena Ostapenko53c93.13$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7713330.1%40 W · 93 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Jelena Ostapenko59c91.32$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.442,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dayana Yastremska33c89.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.597,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Jelena Ostapenko57c84.33$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.263,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Dayana Yastremska17c81.11$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.72,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Jelena Ostapenko58c77.15$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.154862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Dayana Yastremska34c76.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.563,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Dayana Yastremska42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jelena Ostapenko60c66.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.651,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…8240backed Jelena Ostapenko51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.822740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Jelena Ostapenko60c50.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1916175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Dayana Yastremska34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Jelena Ostapenko59c46.24$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9643749%214 W · 223 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Jelena Ostapenko60c44.42$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7734950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6598…5f36backed Dayana Yastremska47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Jelena Ostapenko60c42$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.877047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Jelena Ostapenko60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.676248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Jelena Ostapenko60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1647453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked Jelena Ostapenko78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.86637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x991f…4a8bbacked Jelena Ostapenko52c38.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0910100%10 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+58%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4066…e3c3backed Jelena Ostapenko59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1793…4ebbbacked Jelena Ostapenko59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.994060.6%570 W · 370 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Jelena Ostapenko60c33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.222847.4%108 W · 120 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Dayana Yastremska41c33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5323750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a7…3576backed Jelena Ostapenko54c32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6115258.6%89 W · 63 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1951…7542backed Jelena Ostapenko61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.77566.7%50 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6508…1077backed Jelena Ostapenko57c27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6158438.2%223 W · 361 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Dayana Yastremska41c25.42$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Dayana Yastremska45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.226349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Jelena Ostapenko59c23.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4942358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.