TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof FUT Esports, paiN
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,962
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,249

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,962 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a2c…9bc1backed paiN56c32,263$18,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,240.522049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports44c30,000$13,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,199.9976657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed paiN55c17,500$9,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,874.9741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FUT Esports45c7,407$3,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,33347347.1%223 W · 250 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x359c…3272backed FUT Esports45c3,754$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.3825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked FUT Esports45c3,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3509343%40 W · 53 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked paiN56c2,561$1,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.351,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8976…7367backed FUT Esports45c2,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12515648.1%75 W · 81 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed paiN56c1,791$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.1319554.9%107 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports1c1,762$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.627,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked FUT Esports45c1,400$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.9930338.9%118 W · 185 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked FUT Esports44c1,398$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57a…b8c3backed FUT Esports46c1,184$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed paiN54c999.96$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.981,08950.9%554 W · 535 L+38.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked paiN54c999.96$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9817853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed FUT Esports45c957.78$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43114451.4%74 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c27…cb5bbacked paiN55c920$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4144374.4%32 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2662…3f84backed paiN55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.0920958.9%123 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed paiN54c771.19$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7567041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed paiN55c699.98$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.9939454.3%214 W · 180 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked FUT Esports45c680$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069247.8%44 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed FUT Esports44c665.94$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.6938950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports45c505.14$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.312,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed paiN54c499.95$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9812134.7%42 W · 79 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed FUT Esports43c468.44$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.4336845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa5…01b3backed FUT Esports45c450.95$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.447145.1%32 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ea…59a1backed FUT Esports45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019238%73 W · 119 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed FUT Esports46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports46c423.44$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.785,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked FUT Esports45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18018754.5%102 W · 85 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked FUT Esports45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18058343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked paiN57c338.02$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54fd…c606backed FUT Esports45c333.65$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.147651.3%39 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN47c316.82$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.212,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked paiN55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13526341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed FUT Esports45c299.98$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.991,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked FUT Esports46c274.44$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.2413053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x151e…58debacked FUT Esports61c246.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013765%89 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed FUT Esports47c246.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11529757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed FUT Esports45c236$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.25850%29 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed FUT Esports45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7218…8b34backed paiN55c220$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999268.5%63 W · 29 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed paiN54c203.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.441,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe956…c4e0backed paiN55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68d…1f62backed FUT Esports46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9325446.1%117 W · 137 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed paiN53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942576%19 W · 6 L+5.1wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd0c6…d4a3backed paiN55c188.82$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.032100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed paiN55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8233354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65c5…2862backed FUT Esports46c173.91$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809146.2%42 W · 49 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed FUT Esports46c160$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.148943.6%213 W · 276 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…edaabacked FUT Esports45c150$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.53636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-35.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xd468…f6febacked paiN55c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.546142.7%197 W · 264 L+16.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed paiN56c143.84$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8417948%86 W · 93 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed paiN57c120.47$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.824544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed FUT Esports45c115$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.757545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed FUT Esports45c109.98$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4913040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6382…acbdbacked FUT Esports46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked FUT Esports46c101.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7549245.9%226 W · 266 L-1.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed FUT Esports45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00f7…4476backed FUT Esports45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458625.6%22 W · 64 L-13.4wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed FUT Esports45c99.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4526245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47e1…c2babacked FUT Esports46c99.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6447346.5%220 W · 253 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed FUT Esports45c98.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3552649%258 W · 268 L-27.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed FUT Esports46c96.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.425455.6%30 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…ea90backed FUT Esports43c90$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.710054%54 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed paiN56c89.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.979545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb0…bfbfbacked paiN56c89.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.282650%13 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5fa…6758backed paiN57c87.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.725942.4%25 W · 34 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed FUT Esports35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012138%46 W · 75 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed FUT Esports46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.827954.5%152 W · 127 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b3c…a34abacked FUT Esports46c79.41$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5326443.2%114 W · 150 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed FUT Esports45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3561638.1%235 W · 381 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked paiN55c74.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.738051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb964…927fbacked FUT Esports45c73.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.932352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed paiN53c70.57$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1750947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed paiN40c67.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.112,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xcc4e…c150backed FUT Esports45c66.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0216856%94 W · 74 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed FUT Esports45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked paiN56c66.07$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0729052.4%152 W · 138 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed FUT Esports46c65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.92850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ac…8de4backed paiN57c64.19$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf66…e823backed FUT Esports42c62.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3718041.7%75 W · 105 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked FUT Esports45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2766753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6347…3047backed FUT Esports44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.418145.9%83 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked paiN54c56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7654348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed FUT Esports45c55.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed paiN56c53.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5138848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…29ebbacked FUT Esports46c52.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe16…60bebacked FUT Esports29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152536%9 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked paiN71c51.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.563541.1%261 W · 374 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked paiN55c49.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55653.6%30 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed FUT Esports45c49.24$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2776248.4%369 W · 393 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed paiN57c48.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7721351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed FUT Esports45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.61,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc313…6645backed FUT Esports46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2022651.3%116 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fc3…ee0bbacked FUT Esports46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013958.3%81 W · 58 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed paiN55c42$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7850456.5%285 W · 219 L+17.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked paiN57c39.46$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.979058.9%53 W · 37 L+6.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed paiN55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.129752.2%155 W · 142 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.