CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af3d727cc98023f12b10d12a4cf514c94d5a7036a05a057b3824cea3ad6aad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof FUT Esports, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed paiN | 56c | 32,263$18,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,240.5 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.99 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed paiN | 55c | 17,500$9,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,874.97 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 7,407$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,333 | 473 | 47.1%223 W · 250 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed FUT Esports | 45c | 3,754$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked paiN | 56c | 2,561$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.35 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed FUT Esports | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed paiN | 56c | 1,791$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.13 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FUT Esports | 1c | 1,762$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 303 | 38.9%118 W · 185 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FUT Esports | 44c | 1,398$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed FUT Esports | 46c | 1,184$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed paiN | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked paiN | 54c | 999.96$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.98 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed FUT Esports | 45c | 957.78$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked paiN | 55c | 920$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed paiN | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed paiN | 54c | 771.19$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.75 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed paiN | 55c | 699.98$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 394 | 54.3%214 W · 180 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 680$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed FUT Esports | 44c | 665.94$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.69 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed FUT Esports | 45c | 505.14$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.31 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed paiN | 54c | 499.95$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.98 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed FUT Esports | 43c | 468.44$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…01b3backed FUT Esports | 45c | 450.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.44 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed FUT Esports | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed FUT Esports | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 423.44$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.78 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked FUT Esports | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked paiN | 57c | 338.02$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…c606backed FUT Esports | 45c | 333.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked paiN | 47c | 316.82$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.21 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked paiN | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FUT Esports | 45c | 299.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked FUT Esports | 46c | 274.44$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.24 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151e…58debacked FUT Esports | 61c | 246.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 137 | 65%89 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed FUT Esports | 47c | 246.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed FUT Esports | 45c | 236$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed FUT Esports | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed paiN | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed paiN | 54c | 203.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe956…c4e0backed paiN | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed FUT Esports | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.93 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed paiN | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d4a3backed paiN | 55c | 188.82$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed paiN | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…2862backed FUT Esports | 46c | 173.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed FUT Esports | 46c | 160$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked FUT Esports | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked paiN | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed paiN | 56c | 143.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed paiN | 57c | 120.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed FUT Esports | 45c | 115$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed FUT Esports | 45c | 109.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6382…acbdbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 492 | 45.9%226 W · 266 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed FUT Esports | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed FUT Esports | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -13.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed FUT Esports | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked FUT Esports | 46c | 99.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 473 | 46.5%220 W · 253 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed FUT Esports | 45c | 98.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 526 | 49%258 W · 268 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed FUT Esports | 46c | 96.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.42 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed FUT Esports | 43c | 90$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed paiN | 56c | 89.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb0…bfbfbacked paiN | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fa…6758backed paiN | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…a614backed FUT Esports | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed FUT Esports | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked FUT Esports | 46c | 79.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.53 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FUT Esports | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4b…43dcbacked paiN | 55c | 74.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 380 | 51.3%195 W · 185 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 73.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.93 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed paiN | 53c | 70.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.17 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed paiN | 40c | 67.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4e…c150backed FUT Esports | 45c | 66.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed FUT Esports | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…ff9bbacked paiN | 56c | 66.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed FUT Esports | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed paiN | 57c | 64.19$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed FUT Esports | 42c | 62.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FUT Esports | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed FUT Esports | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked paiN | 54c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed FUT Esports | 45c | 55.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed paiN | 56c | 53.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…29ebbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked FUT Esports | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…698bbacked paiN | 71c | 51.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed FUT Esports | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked paiN | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed FUT Esports | 45c | 49.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed paiN | 57c | 48.3$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed FUT Esports | 45c | 48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…6645backed FUT Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 226 | 51.3%116 W · 110 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc3…ee0bbacked FUT Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed paiN | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 504 | 56.5%285 W · 219 L | +17.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked paiN | 57c | 39.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed paiN | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group ApaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.