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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nemiga Gamingof VP.Prodigy, Nemiga Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,447
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$30,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,447 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x67b6…00bcbacked VP.Prodigy53c3,579$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.779839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy35c1,621$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.392,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked VP.Prodigy52c1,200$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.9734544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Nemiga Gaming47c1,113$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.774100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VP.Prodigy53c992.96$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.8260542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Nemiga Gaming47c944.22$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.743647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed VP.Prodigy52c723.24$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.0466662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Nemiga Gaming52c679.86$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.837560%45 W · 30 L+9.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Nemiga Gaming47c654.16$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.719147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2da…836ebacked Nemiga Gaming46c645.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.733100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked VP.Prodigy24c639.15$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8218746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x058e…a2acbacked Nemiga Gaming47c637.49$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.491250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb79…6274backed Nemiga Gaming78c624.08$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.717152%89 W · 82 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1242…9077backed Nemiga Gaming48c594.2$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.982661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.8wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+51.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Nemiga Gaming47c578.72$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.724654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Nemiga Gaming47c565.96$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.962065%13 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked VP.Prodigy54c400$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0369835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Nemiga Gaming46c376.47$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.293050%15 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed VP.Prodigy53c371.8$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.7514849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked VP.Prodigy54c369.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.082828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.5wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-46.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Nemiga Gaming47c366$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05df…e268backed Nemiga Gaming47c357.45$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…7de4backed VP.Prodigy27c349.61$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Nemiga Gaming47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.151450%7 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed VP.Prodigy53c300.73$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1422945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed VP.Prodigy53c300$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15920838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed VP.Prodigy52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563447.1%16 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Nemiga Gaming47c295$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.351346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Nemiga Gaming45c231.33$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6337223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2638…8e2dbacked VP.Prodigy54c216.89$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Nemiga Gaming46c201.8$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.973351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked VP.Prodigy53c201.02$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2525348.6%123 W · 130 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Nemiga Gaming50c200.54$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.667565.3%49 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked VP.Prodigy50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021045.7%96 W · 114 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab8d…6fe9backed Nemiga Gaming47c175$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-46.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Nemiga Gaming49c165.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.9915545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy52c165.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.711,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd22…9309backed Nemiga Gaming47c160$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+69.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked VP.Prodigy25c157$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2573841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x835e…126cbacked Nemiga Gaming46c155$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e2b…7fc1backed Nemiga Gaming58c151.99$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.993262.5%20 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed VP.Prodigy40c144.98$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6436138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ff7…4176backed Nemiga Gaming47c143$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.79540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63bc…4179backed Nemiga Gaming73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.998834.1%30 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Nemiga Gaming47c136.17$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.175841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed VP.Prodigy53c127.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.336237.1%23 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Nemiga Gaming49c126.53$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5318954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Nemiga Gaming48c117.49$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.7144645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Nemiga Gaming48c113.09$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.819156%51 W · 40 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Nemiga Gaming47c111$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.835545.5%25 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5583…1fbbbacked Nemiga Gaming48c110.78$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.61955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed VP.Prodigy46c105.74$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.643531.4%11 W · 24 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-31.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed VP.Prodigy54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed VP.Prodigy53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5350247.6%239 W · 263 L+31.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea15…ba9ebacked VP.Prodigy49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Nemiga Gaming47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.470236.6%257 W · 445 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f3…14bebacked VP.Prodigy53c79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Nemiga Gaming51c71.85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.067451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Nemiga Gaming72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62781.5%22 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick75cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Nemiga Gaming46c67.6$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.57657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1c…9467backed VP.Prodigy54c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed VP.Prodigy49c65.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.281,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Nemiga Gaming75c64.36$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.413479.4%27 W · 7 L+5.8wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+22.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked VP.Prodigy54c61.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3337441.2%154 W · 220 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa1…bd9bbacked VP.Prodigy25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Nemiga Gaming73c58.9$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.911652.6%61 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Nemiga Gaming50c58.64$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.326650%33 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfad8…0c9dbacked VP.Prodigy53c56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea49…434fbacked Nemiga Gaming53c55.12$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.967157.7%41 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked VP.Prodigy55c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1512740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Nemiga Gaming49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.029443.6%41 W · 53 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed VP.Prodigy56c44.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Nemiga Gaming47c42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.266342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b2…4a5cbacked VP.Prodigy54c41$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Nemiga Gaming51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.612568%85 W · 40 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nemiga Gaming44c38.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.456243.2%243 W · 319 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac70…4a9fbacked VP.Prodigy56c38.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.41030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed VP.Prodigy36c34.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid+7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed VP.Prodigy58c32.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0730647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee05…d6ccbacked Nemiga Gaming46c30.43$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.43955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+61.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81fc…f616backed Nemiga Gaming77c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.92774.1%20 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75fc…e7d1backed VP.Prodigy54c28.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaabb…9ab8backed VP.Prodigy54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157755.8%43 W · 34 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked VP.Prodigy55c27.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0812654.8%69 W · 57 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7125…a5aabacked Nemiga Gaming73c27.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2311100%11 W · 0 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed VP.Prodigy58c26.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9913152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd533…d6a1backed VP.Prodigy49c25.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59238%35 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbda…8bd5backed Nemiga Gaming46c25.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.713259.8%79 W · 53 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05c7…5dc7backed VP.Prodigy53c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed VP.Prodigy54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9640844.1%180 W · 228 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x563c…0dbfbacked Nemiga Gaming47c23.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.571747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5004…c07bbacked VP.Prodigy51c23.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125062%31 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x34c5…db89backed Nemiga Gaming52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.612759.8%76 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5569…c927backed Nemiga Gaming74c17.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.56580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.