Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39a7d9dd39f30cb919bd7d4da7328e379488a0e78936983dd163797912dec488
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof VP.Prodigy, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 2,897$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.22 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…8892backed VP.Prodigy | 58c | 1,235$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.24 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 1,101$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.73 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 1,070$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.11 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 860.2$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.96 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked VP.Prodigy | 44c | 852.63$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.24 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbd…7d99backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 700$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 686.76$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.06 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 632.54$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.23 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227f…405dbacked VP.Prodigy | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed Nemiga Gaming | 47c | 475$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x676f…43c1backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 475$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked VP.Prodigy | 57c | 351.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -6.5wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 329.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.65 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 247.34$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.64 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 228.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 220.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.24 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed VP.Prodigy | 55c | 199.94$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.03 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed VP.Prodigy | 53c | 197.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.33 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed VP.Prodigy | 43c | 159$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 104.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.61 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed VP.Prodigy | 54c | 98.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.31 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 98.07$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 87.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed VP.Prodigy | 56c | 86.43$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.52 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed VP.Prodigy | 75c | 86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 75cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 66.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed VP.Prodigy | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked VP.Prodigy | 62c | 53.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.29 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 53.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed VP.Prodigy | 39c | 53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 49.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.98 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 48.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.38 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 47.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1676…ab19backed VP.Prodigy | 52c | 44.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked VP.Prodigy | 52c | 44.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed VP.Prodigy | 69c | 43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked VP.Prodigy | 57c | 41.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed VP.Prodigy | 40c | 39.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x81fe…4089backed VP.Prodigy | 66c | 36.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 132 | 62.9%83 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8b…01e9backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 35.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 34.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 33.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 33.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed VP.Prodigy | 62c | 32.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 31.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 31.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 31.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked VP.Prodigy | 66c | 31.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 30.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 29.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed VP.Prodigy | 57c | 25.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked VP.Prodigy | 72c | 23.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed VP.Prodigy | 46c | 22.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5624…b5c4backed VP.Prodigy | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked VP.Prodigy | 56c | 18.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed VP.Prodigy | 72c | 14.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.