Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf34bd93b5fc0de4d9b6fe7bf8437b78dba47885c4d30f250b823b77853d02206
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shopify Rebellion Blackof Shopify Rebellion Black, Division One
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 47,717$33,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,691.26 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Division One | 27c | 45,766$12,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,337.55 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 17,500$11,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,818.16 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 78c | 8,711$6,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.79 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Division One | 25c | 7,929$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.15 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Division One | 49c | 5,624$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Division One | 29c | 5,300$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Division One | 18c | 5,206$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.58 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 55c | 4,282$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.23 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa4…236cbacked Division One | 17c | 3,750$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.61 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9876…69f7backed Division One | 31c | 3,166$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.6 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Division One | 31c | 2,911$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.56 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -11.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Division One | 37c | 2,222$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.14 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Division One | 35c | 2,071$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Division One | 33c | 1,937$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.99 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 1,621$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.72 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -11.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 1,444$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.47 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…356dbacked Division One | 48c | 1,123$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Division One | 34c | 1,106$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.69 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Division One | 56c | 1,039$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.66 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Division One | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Division One | 33c | 952.79$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.44 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Division One | 30c | 887.31$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.19 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Division One | 35c | 821.83$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.51 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Division One | 29c | 818.81$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Division One | 33c | 781.42$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.29 | 125 | 40.8%51 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 72c | 726.08$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.48 | 211 | 36.5%77 W · 134 L | -15.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 681.32$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.09 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Division One | 57c | 655.64$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 601.65$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.41 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d2…86e7backed Division One | 48c | 560.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 80c | 547.59$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…91ccbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 540.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 509.06$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 502.53$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Division One | 14c | 460.44$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9497…ea43backed Division One | 30c | 433.02$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Division One | 28c | 413.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.9 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb5…6fe9backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Division One | 39c | 399.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed Division One | 28c | 380.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 366.36$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 43c | 345.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…e44ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 65c | 336.64$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e48…f025backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 71cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Division One | 8c | 324.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Division One | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 308.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 306.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.21 | 260 | 51.9%135 W · 125 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Division One | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 67c | 299.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 69c | 298.84$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.28 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Division One | 31c | 296.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Division One | 31c | 282.25$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Division One | 55c | 275$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 76c | 273.38$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1672…4002backed Division One | 32c | 268.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 264.39$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.79 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 262.59$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 242.52$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Division One | 32c | 239.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…3d52backed Division One | 47c | 236.17$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 236.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…1188backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 231.91$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 74c | 231.22$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Division One | 31c | 224.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.64 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…c828backed Division One | 24c | 219.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205a…682abacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 215.56$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +117%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Division One | 31c | 209.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Division One | 31c | 204.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Division One | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 44c | 196.55$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.55 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 71c | 174.33$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.09 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x623d…3aeebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 171.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.43 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 168.79$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.51 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Division One | 33c | 164$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 64c | 156.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 152.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6013…9826backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 73c | 148.98$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d7…32d8backed Division One | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…3905backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 51c | 146.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 50c | 134.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 59c | 133.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 62c | 120.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 60c | 116$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.59 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Division One | 28c | 114$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Division One | 34c | 110.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 103.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Division One | 27c | 102.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fd…137ebacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 61c | 99.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Division One | 33c | 97.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 73cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 70c | 93.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f3…8adbbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f90…a39fbacked Shopify Rebellion Black | 68c | 83.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Shopify Rebellion Black | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: SRB (-1.5) vs Division One (+1.5)Shopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 1 WinnerDivision One won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 2 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 3 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
- Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Division One - Map 4 WinnerShopify Rebellion Black won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.