Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe24b243f5a28d5318f16bf31f89cd3f82eef307a61f9ecd8e20bde1bf1977101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nightblood Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, SaD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9876…69f7backed SaD Esports | 58c | 1,680$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 1,469$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.46 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed SaD Esports | 60c | 1,373$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.56 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nightblood Gaming | 41c | 1,259$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked SaD Esports | 60c | 1,152$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.91 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nightblood Gaming | 63c | 939.09$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked SaD Esports | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SaD Esports | 27c | 578.48$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed SaD Esports | 41c | 573.29$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.27 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 40c | 509.82$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.89 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed SaD Esports | 61c | 503.46$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.97 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Nightblood Gaming | 63c | 440.57$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed SaD Esports | 31c | 416.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96bb…f0fabacked Nightblood Gaming | 43c | 401.88$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.07 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed SaD Esports | 43c | 341.88$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Nightblood Gaming | 44c | 324.66$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.63 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nightblood Gaming | 65c | 298.89$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SaD Esports | 23c | 291.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Nightblood Gaming | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Nightblood Gaming | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed SaD Esports | 62c | 192$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Nightblood Gaming | 60c | 162.67$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SaD Esports | 49c | 156.38$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked SaD Esports | 13c | 151.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked SaD Esports | 44c | 148.38$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.43 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nightblood Gaming | 37c | 147.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4eae…d46dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 142.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SaD Esports | 14c | 131.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 42c | 120.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.98 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SaD Esports | 43c | 119.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70e0…6821backed Nightblood Gaming | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 39c | 90$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked SaD Esports | 55c | 87.31$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 80.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked SaD Esports | 43c | 80.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked SaD Esports | 31c | 80.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Nightblood Gaming | 41c | 79.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 73.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nightblood Gaming | 70c | 73.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 55c | 72.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Nightblood Gaming | 40c | 72.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 59.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked SaD Esports | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked SaD Esports | 33c | 48.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed SaD Esports | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.3 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nightblood Gaming | 53c | 46.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc352…a152backed Nightblood Gaming | 56c | 44.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Nightblood Gaming | 59c | 41.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SaD Esports | 45c | 39.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf6…b5dabacked Nightblood Gaming | 43c | 38.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed SaD Esports | 56c | 35.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SaD Esports | 31c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nightblood Gaming | 72c | 33.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nightblood Gaming | 62c | 30.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c9…de73backed Nightblood Gaming | 45c | 25.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Nightblood Gaming | 63c | 19.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Nightblood Gaming | 67c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3daa…65bfbacked Nightblood Gaming | 80c | 16.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Group Stagethis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports - Map 2 WinnerSaD Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.