Commodities · resolved market
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e72a0b1675d791f6408d3339fb3d3fb016494a7e6db2f5313a48777f899221d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Upof Up, Down
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,353
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $171,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,353 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Up | 73c | 9,984$7,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.32 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…a9febacked Down | 44c | 7,289$3,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,238.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Up | 70c | 6,992$4,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.38 | 938 | 40.2%377 W · 561 L | -69.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…6872backed Up | 67c | 6,403$4,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100.31 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked Up | 50c | 4,538$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.33 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…9d10backed Down | 9c | 3,513$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Down | 36c | 3,405$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.78 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked Down | 2c | 3,200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…e2afbacked Down | 30c | 3,132$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.24 | 141 | 43.3%61 W · 80 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9da…4efebacked Down | 7c | 2,081$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…fda1backed Down | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe2…8c49backed Down | 7c | 1,714$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Down | 43c | 1,637$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa204…bf99backed Down | 5c | 1,098$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Down | 38c | 1,074$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.17 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +145.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Up | 64c | 1,059$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Down | 23c | 1,002$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.73 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Down | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…15f9backed Up | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…c3bcbacked Down | 41c | 996.59$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.85 | 117 | 36.8%43 W · 74 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Down | 31c | 901.67$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.24 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb09…738dbacked Up | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Up | 74c | 887.99$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.88 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Down | 3c | 850.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7452…0a15backed Down | 3c | 827.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd78…837bbacked Up | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dc…12ecbacked Down | 44c | 666.32$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.84 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…ab53backed Down | 15c | 664.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…bcfdbacked Down | 48c | 645.83$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15fb…252dbacked Down | 30c | 615.83$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.52 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…a6f8backed Up | 78c | 608.97$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.33 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Up | 64c | 599.99$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…3ec3backed Down | 33c | 544.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 292 | 64%187 W · 105 L | +47.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…395dbacked Up | 58c | 530$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…db19backed Down | 47c | 529.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…523cbacked Down | 26c | 496.69$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8eb…87c8backed Down | 31c | 420$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed Up | 63c | 419.04$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e9…684dbacked Down | 43c | 405$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…d800backed Down | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Up | 51c | 372.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…185bbacked Up | 57c | 366$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Down | 40c | 340$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…405abacked Down | 7c | 327.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4943…1f6fbacked Down | 27c | 312.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…ab27backed Down | 31c | 312.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d32…e863backed Up | 56c | 309.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aac…9603backed Up | 63c | 306.36$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.26 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba7e…7308backed Down | 42c | 304.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…495dbacked Down | 12c | 300.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…3ff6backed Down | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Down | 30c | 300$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…9b87backed Down | 36c | 299.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…e70dbacked Down | 15c | 267$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 16cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd15a…80dbbacked Up | 75c | 255.75$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc538…c555backed Down | 25c | 208.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Down | 10c | 205.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 210 | 11.9%25 W · 185 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Up | 73c | 205$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…989dbacked Down | 38c | 204.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…af0dbacked Up | 59c | 201.76$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1b…1419backed Down | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a4…5cbdbacked Down | 22c | 200$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…eed3backed Up | 74c | 200$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed Down | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fd…1995backed Down | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Down | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf5…e344backed Down | 22c | 199.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1be…7e6cbacked Down | 12c | 174.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Down | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f97…96bdbacked Down | 13c | 159.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e36cbacked Down | 39c | 155.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Up | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…f61ebacked Down | 43c | 137$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e7…68e0backed Down | 36c | 126.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4b…fcaebacked Up | 58c | 119.36$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed Down | 19c | 117.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3e20backed Down | 50c | 113.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…a6dabacked Down | 15c | 113.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60e…936dbacked Up | 55c | 111$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…5f25backed Up | 77c | 111$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Down | 25c | 105.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…b127backed Up | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…a294backed Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…8c1dbacked Down | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…3d74backed Up | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Down | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…f8c6backed Down | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…8ac2backed Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 53cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x604f…9137backed Down | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…ce00backed Down | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…d2ccbacked Down | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…d277backed Up | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58c…0a81backed Up | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fd…bc8abacked Up | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…acd1backed Up | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fef…66ecbacked Down | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737e…37b0backed Up | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5160…80d2backed Up | 77c | 61.21$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed Down | 38c | 46.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Up | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 38 | 84.2%32 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.