Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7d22ac81c742f15564a4f8631fcb5d54d37ec66f02390e4a70b287ffa759afe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Joseph's Hawksof California Golden Bears, Saint Joseph's Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,195 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 9,400$4,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,793.84 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 9,131$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.29 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 3,109$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.45 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed California Golden Bears | 50c | 2,575$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.46 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked California Golden Bears | 49c | 2,169$1,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.67 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 49c | 1,969$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.25 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 995.6$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.35 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 40c | 682.35$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.39 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 436.62$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.64 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 32c | 232.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed California Golden Bears | 49c | 204.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 66c | 178.24$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 45c | 148.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.57 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 32c | 130.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 108.65$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 108.19$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 107.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.23 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 101.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 96.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 95.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.52 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked California Golden Bears | 54c | 76.52$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 59.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed California Golden Bears | 67c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…25c0backed California Golden Bears | 49c | 41.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 46c | 37.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked California Golden Bears | 48c | 37.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…4182backed Saint Joseph's Hawks | 47c | 35.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…ef51backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 27.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fd…682dbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks | 52c | 21.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabcc…b1fcbacked California Golden Bears | 59c | 20.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed California Golden Bears | 50c | 20.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden BearsSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 148.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 151.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.