Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd213558f4664daa24736eec1f2e13b498246330a6f922b14289f28c28e7d3ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,727 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Under | 49c | 2,224$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.17 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.92 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 1,811$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.15 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 1,029$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.92 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 991.92$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 15c | 505.8$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 457.87$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 47c | 189.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 56c | 121.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 102.1$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Under | 44c | 55.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Under | 47c | 52.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 50.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Over | 57c | 50.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…e187backed Over | 54c | 45.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e6…7cefbacked Over | 58c | 42.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…7be6backed Over | 54c | 40.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…5a93backed Over | 53c | 37.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd418…d11fbacked Over | 54c | 35.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 52c | 29.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 48c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Over | 54c | 29.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 44c | 26.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 53c | 23.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 52c | 22.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…c134backed Over | 54c | 22.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2e25backed Over | 54c | 18.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 148.5this page
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden BearsSaint Joseph's Hawks won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 149.5Over won
- Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: California Golden Bears (-5.5)Saint Joseph's Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.