Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf71b73938cb9b4782d8b038e7c4ea538c0c6d0fbfb51070fe1f4a67b55cf8f01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed DRX | 35c | 1,893$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.36 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paper Rex | 62c | 1,028$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.8 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed DRX | 8c | 986.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed DRX | 18c | 793.04$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Paper Rex | 58c | 768.21$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.28 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Paper Rex | 69c | 727.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.66 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed DRX | 21c | 678.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.78 | 220 | 18.2%40 W · 180 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked DRX | 26c | 419.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.35 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed Paper Rex | 59c | 403.72$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Paper Rex | 52c | 302.34$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.2 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed DRX | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX | 39c | 275.56$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.79 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex | 60c | 258.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Paper Rex | 51c | 251.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Paper Rex | 66c | 234.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7de…5f66backed DRX | 39c | 205.13$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Paper Rex | 61c | 202.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Paper Rex | 67c | 176.38$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed DRX | 39c | 165.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed DRX | 41c | 163.83$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX | 47c | 144$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed DRX | 41c | 142.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked DRX | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed DRX | 15c | 129.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed DRX | 18c | 111.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb92f…58c4backed DRX | 46c | 107.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Paper Rex | 62c | 106.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Paper Rex | 74c | 100.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Paper Rex | 65c | 93.87$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d43…3f6cbacked Paper Rex | 76c | 91.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed DRX | 45c | 88.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…3d09backed DRX | 42c | 70.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked DRX | 18c | 69.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked Paper Rex | 79c | 62.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 66 | 71.2%47 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed DRX | 25c | 61.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Paper Rex | 71c | 60.23$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Paper Rex | 59c | 54.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Paper Rex | 66c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Paper Rex | 67c | 50.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238d…eb74backed DRX | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…24d1backed Paper Rex | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex | 59c | 49.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc056…e188backed Paper Rex | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…2522backed DRX | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1e…7a98backed DRX | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed DRX | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…a0c8backed Paper Rex | 59c | 29.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 60 | 61.7%37 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked DRX | 38c | 27.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b3…d3debacked Paper Rex | 62c | 27.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Paper Rex | 56c | 27.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.