Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6decc88168d7dff86d29722e887a1c620d6aabdabd5ca4691e88819690c696da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Paper Rex, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,493
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed DRX | 2c | 1,284$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…b4a2backed DRX | 45c | 1,001$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.04 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Paper Rex | 75c | 889.88$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.56 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed DRX | 36c | 781.25$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Paper Rex | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked DRX | 38c | 541.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.19 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed DRX | 10c | 399.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9c…50d8backed DRX | 5c | 306.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 17.6%18 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Paper Rex | 56c | 299.93$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.47 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Paper Rex | 57c | 284.46$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked DRX | 28c | 273.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Paper Rex | 55c | 230.67$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa55…e024backed DRX | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Paper Rex | 78c | 194.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.27 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Paper Rex | 77c | 180.89$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Paper Rex | 72c | 172.4$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 151$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Paper Rex | 70c | 142.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed DRX | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex | 75c | 105.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb934…d9babacked Paper Rex | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked DRX | 28c | 100.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked DRX | 24c | 100.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Paper Rex | 66c | 87.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Paper Rex | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed DRX | 34c | 72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Paper Rex | 69c | 71.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Paper Rex | 55c | 66.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked Paper Rex | 59c | 59.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 306 | 52.3%160 W · 146 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…24d1backed Paper Rex | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked Paper Rex | 76c | 26.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked Paper Rex | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs DRX (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Paper Rex vs DRX - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.