TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Paper Rexof Team Secret, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,256
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,256 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Secret24c4,339$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.2845033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Secret66c3,285$2,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,153.544755.3%26 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Paper Rex55c3,003$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.8526050%130 W · 130 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Secret13c2,971$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.2393148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Secret43c2,473$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.3919157.1%109 W · 82 L+23.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Secret20c1,726$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.031,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2371…d59fbacked Team Secret48c1,574$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.861457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Paper Rex48c1,554$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.291,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Secret15c1,546$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0831153.1%165 W · 146 L+15.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Paper Rex66c1,295$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9334857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed Paper Rex70c1,157$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2443059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Team Secret36c823.72$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.9314252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Paper Rex52c812.65$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.7931227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Paper Rex64c788.63$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.95263.5%33 W · 19 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Secret40c736.24$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.7662156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Paper Rex55c692.29$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.551,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd20f…2f35backed Paper Rex61c611.87$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.662356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Paper Rex60c522.33$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.641,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Secret31c500.29$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6215342.5%65 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Secret43c499.82$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4341734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Secret48c491.52$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.557565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Secret32c464.83$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14740731.7%129 W · 278 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Secret16c459.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.211,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed Paper Rex37c450.04$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.5218735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Secret18c449.37$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.031,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Secret34c431.59$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0760022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Paper Rex68c359.88$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.6611152.3%58 W · 53 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb813…f0efbacked Paper Rex69c352.28$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.553145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Team Secret50c310.47$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.32666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Team Secret49c296.76$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.417044.3%31 W · 39 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Paper Rex66c249.73$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9115450%77 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Paper Rex51c247.41$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.2314645.2%66 W · 80 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Paper Rex44c239.25$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.8722455.4%124 W · 100 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8061…a32bbacked Team Secret40c209.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.743378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf4cd…a898backed Team Secret65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Paper Rex73c200$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9439166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Secret36c189.76$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3988844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7c0…f389backed Paper Rex35c180$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1175232.7%17 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Paper Rex50c171.55$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3899846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Paper Rex55c159.18$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1222542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Team Secret50c157.14$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.029551.6%49 W · 46 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Team Secret58c157$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.067342.5%31 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Paper Rex33c135.49$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.5642840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b2…0ab9backed Team Secret48c125.14$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.07812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-81.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Team Secret15c121.47$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.224055%22 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Paper Rex59c118.51$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0821048.1%101 W · 109 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Team Secret25c116.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.225646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Team Secret19c112.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.845651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Team Secret15c98.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1930828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Paper Rex74c98.44$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5942051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Team Secret48c96.88$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.56852.9%36 W · 32 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Secret42c94.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.631,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Team Secret30c90$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2777929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Paper Rex61c89.55$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.374245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…fd19backed Team Secret55c88.88$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.61540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Paper Rex62c85.82$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5517448.3%84 W · 90 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fd6…9d99backed Team Secret46c84.49$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.71637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Paper Rex59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8924457.8%141 W · 103 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Team Secret31c81.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.126053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa656…fc5ebacked Team Secret20c80.21$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.042070%14 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.23per pick47cpaid+52.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Team Secret23c78.08$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0657517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Paper Rex71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0722955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Team Secret40c64.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.761353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Team Secret24c61.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8815512.3%19 W · 136 L-27.4wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-62.7%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x7a42…24d1backed Paper Rex76c59.77$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.252673.1%19 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x72bc…b24ebacked Team Secret47c57.97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.46540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Team Secret44c55.36$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5818948.7%92 W · 97 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95bb…288dbacked Paper Rex58c52.7$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.065944.1%26 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Team Secret33c50.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9820755.6%115 W · 92 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7100…b346backed Team Secret53c45.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.334452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Paper Rex54c44.63$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6119661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Paper Rex54c42.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.3426730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Team Secret32c36.97$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b20…62cbbacked Team Secret47c32.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Team Secret50c30.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3621951.6%113 W · 106 L-16.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa665…318cbacked Team Secret50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.551764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2af6…7cb7backed Paper Rex72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.653100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Paper Rex46c24.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9530544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe881…fb3dbacked Paper Rex71c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.024864.6%31 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Team Secret60c18.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.828451.2%43 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb6…aa53backed Paper Rex60c18.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.