Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3561848d7a02f42abcae885fc62b05e4244608b541acabfe943fa017b72c552
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paper Rexof Team Secret, Paper Rex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,000
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,000 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Secret | 11c | 5,290$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.06 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Team Secret | 10c | 4,792$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.89 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Secret | 16c | 3,196$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.77 | 145 | 33.8%49 W · 96 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Team Secret | 9c | 1,728$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Secret | 10c | 1,514$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.36 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Secret | 9c | 1,200$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a7…9638backed Team Secret | 8c | 929.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Team Secret | 12c | 881.59$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Team Secret | 2c | 876.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Secret | 8c | 797.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.06 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Secret | 11c | 775.69$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Team Secret | 11c | 759.95$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd9…ea45backed Team Secret | 11c | 753.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Team Secret | 6c | 738.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Team Secret | 4c | 724.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Team Secret | 6c | 690.74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Team Secret | 13c | 643.26$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.05 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Team Secret | 8c | 620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Team Secret | 10c | 525.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Team Secret | 11c | 476.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed Team Secret | 18c | 475.4$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeac5…cab7backed Team Secret | 10c | 475.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…6b4dbacked Team Secret | 8c | 440.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Team Secret | 16c | 437.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.26 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…bfaabacked Team Secret | 11c | 430.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Secret | 4c | 337.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Secret | 8c | 258.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe87…83d6backed Team Secret | 11c | 258.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…1d74backed Team Secret | 18c | 230.65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…d53ebacked Team Secret | 10c | 208.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Team Secret | 10c | 203.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked Team Secret | 14c | 193.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Secret | 17c | 191.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…d091backed Team Secret | 10c | 189.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Team Secret | 6c | 187.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92dc…ae74backed Team Secret | 11c | 171.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Team Secret | 8c | 161.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -18.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Team Secret | 13c | 152.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Team Secret | 11c | 147.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa51a…e6afbacked Team Secret | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Secret | 14c | 117.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 175 | 37.7%66 W · 109 L | -14.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Team Secret | 12c | 114.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Secret | 18c | 113.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Secret | 20c | 99.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…8978backed Team Secret | 11c | 94.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Team Secret | 14c | 90.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Secret | 16c | 87.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…1564backed Team Secret | 15c | 86.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Team Secret | 18c | 79.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Team Secret | 16c | 66.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.