Valorant · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e007bbd0c0ae7dd37631b923665f19df6bc8e978f0a06ad2f34742627abe7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 71c | 550$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 29c | 445.19$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Under | 35c | 355.74$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.23 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac89…3783backed Over | 26c | 293.01$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…cd33backed Under | 72c | 275.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 430 | 59.8%257 W · 173 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 29c | 271.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 70c | 258.05$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.31 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 70c | 199.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Under | 70c | 197.88$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.39 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 30c | 178.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.49 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 56c | 173.43$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Under | 48c | 169.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 36c | 121.58$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +23.4wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Over | 31c | 90.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 38c | 85.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Under | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Under | 51c | 48.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ee…0f22backed Over | 29c | 45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Map Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Team Secret (+1.5)Paper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group AlphaPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 1 WinnerPaper Rex won
- Valorant: Team Secret vs Paper Rex - Map 2 WinnerPaper Rex won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.