Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00e7bebc7426c2932106892bcc7ffa21937f64be5c516976d596210846459a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Karmine Corp, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 931 | 48.1%448 W · 483 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Karmine Corp | 38c | 999.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Eternal Fire | 69c | 958.83$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.7 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 386$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.07 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Eternal Fire | 68c | 305$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.87 | 533 | 55.3%295 W · 238 L | +24.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Eternal Fire | 68c | 210.47$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 563 | 57.9%326 W · 237 L | +36.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 185$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Eternal Fire | 72c | 171.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 155.86$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.67 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Karmine Corp | 11c | 100.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Karmine Corp | 18c | 79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Karmine Corp | 29c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f48…0b0dbacked Eternal Fire | 62c | 62.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 184 | 57.1%105 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Karmine Corp | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karmine Corp | 37c | 52.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…e505backed Eternal Fire | 77c | 46.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed Eternal Fire | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a42…24d1backed Eternal Fire | 76c | 26.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.42 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…cc8abacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e2…86c6backed Eternal Fire | 62c | 20.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2Karmine Corp won
- Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.