TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, XLG Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,764
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,016

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,764 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8061…a32bbacked EDward Gaming77c5,847$4,519 inWon+$1,327.553378.8%26 W · 7 L+6.5wins+0.20per pick59cpaid+23.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked XLG Gaming19c1,772$334 inLost-$333.9531227.6%86 W · 226 L-33.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-42.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked XLG Gaming16c1,309$209 inLost-$208.981,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked XLG Gaming12c1,026$127 inLost-$126.541,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed XLG Gaming47c897.95$419 inLost-$419.0432047.8%153 W · 167 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked EDward Gaming53c716.72$379 inWon+$337.2428747.4%136 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed XLG Gaming28c509.28$142 inLost-$142.411,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked XLG Gaming44c483.2$213 inLost-$212.611,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe9…4a83backed XLG Gaming33c436.27$144 inLost-$143.973125.8%8 W · 23 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3fcc…9f91backed XLG Gaming20c411.28$82 inLost-$81.8360022.7%136 W · 464 L-26.3wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed EDward Gaming54c352.86$191 inWon+$162.316637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked XLG Gaming33c299.99$99 inLost-$996636.4%24 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf9b…2013backed XLG Gaming33c290.85$96 inLost-$95.9818735.3%66 W · 121 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b60…5c4ebacked XLG Gaming10c236.5$24 inLost-$23.6510333%34 W · 69 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed EDward Gaming42c198.28$83 inWon+$1153342.4%14 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked XLG Gaming27c189.14$50 inLost-$50.331,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddad…bce1backed EDward Gaming57c167.49$95 inWon+$72.0212656.3%71 W · 55 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed XLG Gaming27c167.03$45 inLost-$44.6222542.7%96 W · 129 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3304…8313backed EDward Gaming67c146.52$98 inWon+$48.516755.2%37 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed XLG Gaming46c145.66$67 inLost-$674450%22 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x317f…3a7abacked XLG Gaming27c141.27$38 inLost-$37.9714747.6%70 W · 77 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked XLG Gaming15c141.1$21 inLost-$219314%13 W · 80 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed XLG Gaming44c125.63$55 inLost-$55.2830544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed XLG Gaming35c121.93$43 inLost-$42.8999846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed EDward Gaming79c97.2$76 inWon+$20.721,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked XLG Gaming13c90.21$12 inLost-$11.8919661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc08e…ebfdbacked XLG Gaming21c87.99$19 inLost-$18.891637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb794…0aa5backed XLG Gaming14c79$11 inLost-$11.12638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4898…a723backed EDward Gaming76c60$46 inWon+$14.14450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked XLG Gaming44c52.71$23 inLost-$23.1930828.2%87 W · 221 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff3b…14d6backed EDward Gaming68c49.04$33 inWon+$15.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed EDward Gaming69c43.6$30 inWon+$13.6226436%95 W · 169 L-15.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x039e…a342backed EDward Gaming70c42.69$30 inWon+$12.81862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed EDward Gaming67c39.21$26 inWon+$12.946759.7%40 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9006…33c3backed XLG Gaming28c37.19$11 inLost-$10.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked XLG Gaming45c29.92$14 inLost-$13.5412159.5%72 W · 49 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5c49…c6c2backed EDward Gaming54c29.17$16 inWon+$13.422352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.