Movies · resolved market
Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb25ec6c0838ee91283831bb9b7b1961ad19947e0a376761e72374b3336a302
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $453,175
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $453,175 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked Yes | 10c | 52,300$4,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,971.94 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c4…37c9backed Yes | 7c | 22,685$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 21,583$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.61 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…3351backed Yes | 9c | 18,000$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed Yes | 8c | 16,672$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.53 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 6c | 16,022$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.97 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 0c | 14,626$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…2006backed Yes | 5c | 14,248$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked No | 47c | 12,899$6,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,788.38 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f62…38fcbacked Yes | 23c | 8,774$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.83 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…5bdfbacked Yes | 9c | 7,558$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…8070backed Yes | 13c | 7,190$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.28 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 11c | 6,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ede…fa07backed Yes | 10c | 5,387$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…b136backed Yes | 3c | 4,162$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.18 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,762$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.98 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bac…8684backed Yes | 8c | 3,647$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 64c | 3,560$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.29 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,416$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 9c | 3,267$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.3 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x422a…9352backed Yes | 7c | 3,217$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd923…f400backed Yes | 32c | 2,650$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.98 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fa1ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,360$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x023f…c142backed Yes | 3c | 2,340$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 8c | 2,147$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.25 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…f49ebacked Yes | 35c | 2,000$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.77 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…a723backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked No | 71c | 1,862$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Yes | 64c | 1,640$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6778…226abacked Yes | 21c | 1,628$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 50c | 1,626$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.1 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 34c | 1,517$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.34 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ac…2287backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…03e7backed Yes | 21c | 1,498$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Yes | 1c | 1,460$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 28c | 1,422$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 1,366$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.45 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 76c | 1,315$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…d194backed Yes | 68c | 1,246$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…4a91backed Yes | 5c | 1,007$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 18c | 994$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +452.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…dd1ebacked Yes | 8c | 992.87$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…c554backed No | 34c | 897.44$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…ac9bbacked Yes | 1c | 888$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Yes | 59c | 794.3$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 54c | 657$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Yes | 62c | 656.67$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Yes | 13c | 631.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 22c | 601.26$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…00afbacked Yes | 66c | 537.91$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f35…7594backed No | 62c | 504.17$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbe…ee8dbacked Yes | 3c | 500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…7c5cbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7b…b2ccbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked No | 80c | 497.81$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2038…1024backed Yes | 3c | 496$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 12c | 450.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.82 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…3ebbbacked Yes | 28c | 450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 28c | 426$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…7295backed Yes | 42c | 410$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad32…80a3backed No | 58c | 410$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb626…e748backed Yes | 71c | 408.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e4…184ebacked No | 55c | 405$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 35c | 354.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.35 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 54c | 343.86$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdf…6c07backed Yes | 70c | 341.18$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +293%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 51c | 340$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.95 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6c…0bc2backed Yes | 30c | 340$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a6…3899backed Yes | 15c | 335.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a66…1c60backed Yes | 21c | 325.23$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d9…5653backed Yes | 18c | 325$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.75 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a3a…ee52backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6087backed Yes | 68c | 293.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed Yes | 71c | 281.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d2…4f4bbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaae…7b32backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2835…a1aabacked No | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 11cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 43c | 193.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Yes | 63c | 189.92$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd31b…292ebacked Yes | 50c | 180.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5726…09acbacked Yes | 11c | 172$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…ec35backed Yes | 7c | 152.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 63c | 138$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 38c | 115.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 64c | 110$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…0419backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 34c | 99.97$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca50…0d43backed Yes | 62c | 99.19$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fc…b45cbacked Yes | 58c | 99.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…6b69backed No | 43c | 98.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…7493backed No | 39c | 98.72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Terrifier 3' gross less than $16m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Terrifier 3' gross between $16-19m opening weekend?Yes won
- Will 'Terrifier 3' gross more than $19m opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.