TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Movistar KOIof Fnatic, Movistar KOI
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$752,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$941,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $752,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x52ec…a6f3backed Fnatic27c72,620$19,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,601.3381443.5%354 W · 460 L+30.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b1d…76a0backed Movistar KOI76c71,735$54,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,935.543138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed Fnatic5c61,950$3,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,259.9289746.9%421 W · 476 L+43.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Fnatic25c55,919$13,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,726.181,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Fnatic4c42,676$1,707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,707.0325946.7%121 W · 138 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Movistar KOI74c28,000$20,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,179.9713161.8%81 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Movistar KOI59c16,589$9,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,809.5764455.6%358 W · 286 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3954…22d9backed Fnatic41c14,286$5,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,851.182263.6%14 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed Movistar KOI65c13,265$8,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,585.239355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Fnatic16c10,076$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,609.9770641.5%293 W · 413 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Movistar KOI59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10021248.6%103 W · 109 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Movistar KOI58c9,000$5,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,78090348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Fnatic32c7,397$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,365.071,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Fnatic39c6,000$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.0954555.2%301 W · 244 L+24.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Fnatic33c5,835$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,917.431,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4873…15babacked Movistar KOI59c5,379$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.5317953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff2…c175backed Fnatic40c5,287$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.3941227.4%113 W · 299 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6842…20d0backed Fnatic38c5,162$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.071,01647%478 W · 538 L+21.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Movistar KOI80c5,049$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,014.381,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed Fnatic40c5,024$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00037344%164 W · 209 L-16.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf496…fe79backed Fnatic14c4,812$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.6430947.2%146 W · 163 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x017b…1ef4backed Fnatic12c4,705$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.9915429.9%46 W · 108 L+15.4wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+81.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Movistar KOI65c4,001$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.21,32753.3%707 W · 620 L+37.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9d…6c84backed Fnatic3c3,973$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1934538.8%134 W · 211 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d78…29a5backed Movistar KOI70c3,750$2,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.968651.2%44 W · 42 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Fnatic29c3,529$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.411,00842.5%428 W · 580 L-24.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Fnatic41c3,500$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43532534.8%113 W · 212 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Movistar KOI58c3,316$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.8727957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a93…8e36backed Movistar KOI79c3,291$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.1410365%67 W · 36 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Movistar KOI59c3,099$1,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.591,59653.7%857 W · 739 L+56.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fnatic26c3,098$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801.91,96548.4%951 W · 1,014 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2627…fa13backed Fnatic42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26012040.8%49 W · 71 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Movistar KOI59c2,954$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.911,46961.4%902 W · 567 L-20.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb8…5a88backed Fnatic31c2,874$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.1535654.8%195 W · 161 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x515d…0340backed Fnatic32c2,819$897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.5235758.5%209 W · 148 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fnatic11c2,616$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.082,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Fnatic24c2,542$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.441,57155.1%866 W · 705 L+80.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Movistar KOI58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,049.991,07147.1%504 W · 567 L+2.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Fnatic12c2,421$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.733,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x85b8…0935backed Fnatic42c2,382$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003828.9%11 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb4…87b5backed Movistar KOI64c2,375$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.184151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Movistar KOI67c2,218$1,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.941,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Fnatic33c2,200$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72612525.6%32 W · 93 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b7…c49bbacked Fnatic21c2,167$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45316353.4%87 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e24…4fabbacked Fnatic29c2,019$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.1834858%202 W · 146 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Fnatic40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.991,22135.9%438 W · 783 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Fnatic29c1,976$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.0662158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec8…1d07backed Movistar KOI76c1,954$1,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.3112553.6%67 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x825e…2a99backed Fnatic31c1,935$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027749.1%136 W · 141 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Fnatic23c1,848$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.8466845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Fnatic38c1,751$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.530345.2%137 W · 166 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Movistar KOI59c1,700$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6971,44157.4%827 W · 614 L+35.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Movistar KOI66c1,678$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.1212747.2%60 W · 67 L-11.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3bc…5bd2backed Fnatic24c1,673$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40029748.1%143 W · 154 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a01…bc5ebacked Fnatic32c1,613$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.8136458.8%214 W · 150 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ca9…4669backed Fnatic15c1,501$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Movistar KOI77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451,30045.2%587 W · 713 L+50.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc86f…e603backed Movistar KOI59c1,483$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.862050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea58…0308backed Fnatic36c1,473$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.287431.1%23 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Fnatic8c1,395$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4285942.7%367 W · 492 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a86…0079backed Fnatic6c1,379$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3912644.4%56 W · 70 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked Movistar KOI58c1,291$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.3821828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Fnatic41c1,287$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.6751146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Movistar KOI59c1,258$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.821,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Fnatic16c1,230$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4687443.1%377 W · 497 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Movistar KOI60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48028448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Fnatic42c1,200$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50496350.2%483 W · 480 L+1.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked Fnatic3c1,163$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4768915.2%105 W · 584 L-31.1wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-58.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Fnatic35c1,122$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.152,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI58c1,035$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.61,61148.4%780 W · 831 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Fnatic29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,67559.3%993 W · 682 L+96.8wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Fnatic5c1,024$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2115648.7%76 W · 80 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a28…ff8cbacked Movistar KOI59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9512447.6%59 W · 65 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked Fnatic31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,22348.6%594 W · 629 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62c6…ab7bbacked Movistar KOI60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084360.7%512 W · 331 L+44.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Movistar KOI58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42015253.3%81 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Fnatic41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.992669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc581…0f24backed Fnatic40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.991838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Fnatic40c999.98$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9932944.1%145 W · 184 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Fnatic35c999.97$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9915147%71 W · 80 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fnatic32c996$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.412,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Fnatic24c945$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9228544.9%128 W · 157 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Fnatic28c928.44$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.911,81339.1%709 W · 1,104 L-30.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…3e36backed Fnatic32c925.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-54%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fnatic26c899.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.472,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6e0…413fbacked Movistar KOI60c887.93$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.177364.4%47 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdccd…f41abacked Fnatic34c884.62$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017839.3%70 W · 108 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Movistar KOI59c880$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.631,21954.5%664 W · 555 L+52.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Fnatic14c847.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2969259.7%413 W · 279 L+75.8wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb53…7b74backed Movistar KOI76c826.37$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.0348763.2%308 W · 179 L+20.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Movistar KOI73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9221352.6%112 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed Movistar KOI62c812.98$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.981,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fnatic6c808.85$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.841,21343.4%527 W · 686 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Movistar KOI59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32813549.6%67 W · 68 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Movistar KOI72c786.72$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.3716845.8%77 W · 91 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d21…b3cfbacked Fnatic31c771.09$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1536359%214 W · 149 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9b2…8e7dbacked Movistar KOI72c748.65$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4323152.4%121 W · 110 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf071…04d6backed Fnatic27c730$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.113336.8%49 W · 84 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a99…51bbbacked Fnatic42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30083149.8%414 W · 417 L+2.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked Movistar KOI60c714.28$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7136952.3%193 W · 176 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.