Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4770a6feeeaaf92c28bfa8640c1bc79d2ea1fc1c62a9e7a52f4322bb0c65cc16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Movistar KOI, Fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Movistar KOI | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 932.83$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.51 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Fnatic | 40c | 640$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Movistar KOI | 40c | 504.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Fnatic | 63c | 398.49$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Fnatic | 40c | 360$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 349.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.49 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 60c | 324.5$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Fnatic | 64c | 313.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.66 | 551 | 45%248 W · 303 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ca…2737backed Fnatic | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 112 | 64.3%72 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…f856backed Fnatic | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Fnatic | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 323 | 50.8%164 W · 159 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Movistar KOI | 36c | 214.92$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8feb…63fcbacked Movistar KOI | 43c | 200.48$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 189$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…3220backed Fnatic | 62c | 156.92$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked Movistar KOI | 8c | 143.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Movistar KOI | 30c | 105.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fnatic | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0e…8177backed Fnatic | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 682 | 53.5%365 W · 317 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…cbfebacked Fnatic | 63c | 67.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62d…c8ccbacked Movistar KOI | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 364 | 54.4%198 W · 166 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fnatic | 55c | 64.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.84 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 53.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…8663backed Movistar KOI | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Fnatic | 61c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Fnatic | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Movistar KOI | 22c | 46.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…77aabacked Fnatic | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Movistar KOI | 32c | 36.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 294 | 47.6%140 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed Fnatic | 72c | 36.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked Fnatic | 64c | 30.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…b6ffbacked Fnatic | 67c | 21.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Fnatic | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Fnatic | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 175 | 52.6%92 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Fnatic | 75c | 16.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Fnatic | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Fnatic | 75c | 14.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Fnatic (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Movistar KOI won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerFnatic won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.