Movies · resolved market
Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdeef81ea24ad366927c48caeecf0c2b7449af00086edd9dcf47f900c0cc5d635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $216,840
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $234,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,840 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked Yes | 55c | 21,130$11,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,446.57 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d8…a0a6backed No | 47c | 9,241$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.63 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 44c | 5,645$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.11 | 187 | 19.3%36 W · 151 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 15c | 5,393$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.85 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 34c | 5,369$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,524.61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9199…dd2dbacked Yes | 71c | 5,367$3,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.92 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 51c | 4,674$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,283.6 | 184 | 31%57 W · 127 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 29c | 4,036$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.25 | 179 | 9.5%17 W · 162 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed Yes | 52c | 3,148$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.52 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd78…e773backed Yes | 57c | 3,046$1,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.83 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…cb62backed Yes | 55c | 2,933$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.86 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 2c | 2,505$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 71c | 1,962$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.49 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 53c | 1,948$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.54 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d5…98aebacked Yes | 49c | 1,424$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.16 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfc…93f7backed Yes | 58c | 1,203$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed Yes | 63c | 1,201$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.14 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…71b1backed Yes | 61c | 1,176$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.87 | 100 | 37%37 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked Yes | 76c | 1,162$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6125…089cbacked No | 62c | 1,049$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…be38backed No | 46c | 1,028$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.41 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…9b59backed Yes | 70c | 918$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.87 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe664…bfb3backed Yes | 60c | 895.63$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.03 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Yes | 73c | 831.28$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked Yes | 57c | 821$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.76 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…9f3cbacked Yes | 26c | 820.72$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.98 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 814.48$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79f0…b735backed Yes | 78c | 772.46$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc3…7865backed Yes | 52c | 731.64$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.58 | 70 | 22.9%16 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 67c | 708.61$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc7…a4bbbacked Yes | 28c | 691.62$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.78 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 51c | 677.1$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.75 | 198 | 36.4%72 W · 126 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 77c | 628.3$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.68 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290c…bd36backed Yes | 63c | 576.17$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…2392backed Yes | 79c | 568.85$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 73c | 526.49$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…ee7ebacked Yes | 67c | 515.23$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.94 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked No | 33c | 509.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.46 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a01…6397backed Yes | 65c | 498.08$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 67c | 470.71$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.55 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 56c | 463.54$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 79c | 455$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…da67backed Yes | 73c | 393.87$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c6…a070backed No | 43c | 377.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 30c | 358.62$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 59c | 310$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1577…8949backed Yes | 45c | 306.85$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a3…5adabacked Yes | 76c | 300$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 56c | 289.46$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.31 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 59c | 281.25$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.94 | 145 | 30.3%44 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 59c | 273.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.21 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…6176backed No | 46c | 266.92$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…810abacked No | 50c | 258.88$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked Yes | 52c | 238.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 59c | 231.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 75c | 229.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 29c | 227.34$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a793backed Yes | 56c | 202.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 62c | 200$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.51 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ca…eab7backed Yes | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Yes | 53c | 152.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 99 | 32.3%32 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed No | 36c | 148.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6d87backed Yes | 57c | 140$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…388fbacked No | 26c | 133.87$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…17b2backed Yes | 79c | 131.65$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…2acbbacked No | 10c | 129.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 43c | 125.78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.22 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb692…7c83backed No | 50c | 119.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb582…c3b6backed No | 29c | 104.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…7bd8backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6147…d34ebacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe296…6b8cbacked No | 43c | 96.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…41efbacked No | 47c | 92.49$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…5ffcbacked Yes | 64c | 92.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x113c…e838backed No | 44c | 90.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…1e86backed Yes | 57c | 87.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae4…4f84backed No | 27c | 85.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…710fbacked Yes | 53c | 79.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…5293backed No | 33c | 78.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b15…29c8backed No | 26c | 78.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 47c | 76.37$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…e85ebacked Yes | 60c | 75.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb878…7e11backed Yes | 62c | 72.69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…d78ebacked Yes | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 80c | 69.96$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc7…d1d7backed No | 26c | 67.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bf…10a4backed Yes | 56c | 66.82$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7420…c03bbacked No | 47c | 62.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb129…d410backed No | 44c | 62.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257b…c246backed Yes | 56c | 62.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a71…eb61backed No | 45c | 58.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf78f…f37fbacked No | 50c | 56.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…a19cbacked Yes | 77c | 55.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…30f4backed Yes | 47c | 54.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9f…5ee2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152e…3e5ebacked Yes | 59c | 53.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…e6d4backed Yes | 56c | 52.21$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m?this page
- Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $16-19m?No won
- Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $19-22m?No won
- Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross $22m or more?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.