TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-18?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$417,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$424,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes41c354,351$146,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146,134.0115647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No57c63,563$36,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,24813053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No57c46,500$26,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,9955100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+115.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No58c34,741$20,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,587.5223858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No61c33,543$20,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,249.4126345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No60c27,380$16,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,9521266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc96e…f1f9backed No60c19,170$11,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,667.86825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No58c18,373$10,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,800.029268.5%63 W · 29 L+11.7wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+17.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c18,184$10,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,524.833,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No60c15,682$9,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,272.82166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No60c13,951$8,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,580.224949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No57c8,699$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.098563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No60c7,709$4,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,083.592650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Yes43c7,016$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0172254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No59c6,226$3,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,581.041,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No60c4,992$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.545056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No58c4,965$2,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,075.7815458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c4,213$2,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,754.1497146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked No60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.33850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No60c2,945$1,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.1142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No67c2,773$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.7177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c2,729$2,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.0948344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No60c2,101$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.3547748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa3…172fbacked No60c2,016$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.4850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No60c1,773$1,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.399854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes3c1,500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.736222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x991f…4a8bbacked Yes42c1,424$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.38560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick24cpaid+268.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1a51…f873backed No60c1,369$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No61c1,331$815 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.533145.2%14 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Yes45c1,070$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.628971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No63c1,003$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.112259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008547.1%40 W · 45 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4305147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes66c1,000$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.9539567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39055750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39068550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39091553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No60c701.75$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.647037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No59c654.97$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.5912254.1%66 W · 56 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No59c652.96$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.0114151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked No60c610$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes32c590.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.3722946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes42c513.87$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.2253046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed No59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.477149.3%35 W · 36 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Yes45c446.13$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.877962%49 W · 30 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No61c438$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No57c400$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1708661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No35c395.85$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8122269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed No57c341$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.964447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No60c333.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3312146.3%56 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No59c325.65$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5137649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked No44c320.56$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.562458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+74.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes43c316$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.881338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No60c293.3$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.495257.7%30 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No60c281$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.735851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes25c263.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3741339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6267…7b54backed No52c255.29$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No59c254.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1839234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No60c248.86$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5422263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d7a…4f82backed No52c248.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.43650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No61c248.73$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.8923643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e4…afeabacked No52c248.72$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb98…be21backed No52c246.69$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe42…8e5cbacked No55c246.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+40.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15fb…72ccbacked No52c245.68$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48a5…b17fbacked No55c244.51$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.03475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d9e…74bfbacked No55c243.72$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b1…65bfbacked No52c239.21$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82d6…a834backed No55c238.47$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.313100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8ce…5893backed No52c237.7$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b5b…e06bbacked No52c233.95$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x398e…1cb4backed No55c232.04$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.42666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6328…f86ebacked No52c230.11$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.45475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+45.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b4…3b3dbacked No52c224.33$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed No76c221$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6041…3326backed No60c213$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes39c210.1$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7528721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No59c210$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.130444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes16c206.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5123548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No59c200$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834959.2%29 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed No58c195.49$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.941546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked No60c194.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8710755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd20a…35a7backed Yes38c193$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No58c182.08$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No57c170$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.12450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9244…643cbacked No57c149.46$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a9…656dbacked Yes38c145$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.11947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Yes70c143.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed No70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9644…02fcbacked Yes70c139.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.33540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-36.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked No60c133.33$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No59c131$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.7113046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes39c126.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6678344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b5d…adc4backed Yes41c121.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ffe…9150backed No60c119.21$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.68922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-63.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No60c118$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.220648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed No58c113$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.464250%21 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed No58c112.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+125.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No31c112.65$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.734837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.