Mls · resolved market
Will New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c2ada0d675669f26196b93550e8d27f959f3f9ceace0c5ac7c2551c9f81931e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,839
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 27c | 5,445$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 2,132$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.54 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 24c | 1,645$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.49 | 190 | 73.7%140 W · 50 L | +18.6wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 1,304$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.98 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 72c | 1,002$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.19 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 29c | 689.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 9c | 554.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc775…6b22backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfc…5c8ebacked Yes | 29c | 451.19$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 70c | 335.97$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +54%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 23c | 329.58$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 44c | 323.19$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.78 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 27c | 319$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.61 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 258.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 252.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 25c | 234.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 28c | 231.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 209.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.18 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 68c | 168.09$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 36c | 161.31$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 30c | 152.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 72c | 142.68$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 142.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 61c | 140$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 37c | 136$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0833…bc88backed Yes | 35c | 120.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 54c | 118.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 43c | 114$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 111$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 70c | 110.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 47c | 107.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 26c | 89.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Yes | 29c | 85.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 28c | 80.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Yes | 27c | 80.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 28c | 79.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yes | 28c | 77.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 70c | 59.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 259 | 34.4%89 W · 170 L | -28.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 24c | 49.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Yes | 27c | 45.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed No | 73c | 44.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 76c | 42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 45c | 39.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 78c | 30.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -16.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed No | 76c | 27.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…970cbacked Yes | 67c | 26.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 66c | 25.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 73c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…e671backed No | 75c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 15.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 77c | 13.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.23 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New England Revolution vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.