CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fbe3bbb144ccb2bb02bf3a6d4d981646a91f55691b54ec7fae420f203c4261e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Sinners, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked Sinners | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Tricked | 56c | 874.41$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.71 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Tricked | 45c | 837.95$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.87 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Tricked | 45c | 824.43$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.08 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tricked | 45c | 604.81$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.65 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tricked | 50c | 485.62$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Sinners | 64c | 469.66$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.78 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Sinners | 44c | 400$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Sinners | 58c | 390.03$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.98 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Tricked | 40c | 314.46$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.88 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c0…244ebacked Tricked | 53c | 263.61$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Tricked | 45c | 193.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.37 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Sinners | 21c | 190.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tricked | 46c | 184.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Tricked | 20c | 174.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.87 | 151 | 64.2%97 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…d5c3backed Sinners | 52c | 173.38$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Sinners | 67c | 159.36$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…79ddbacked Sinners | 72c | 136.38$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.33 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Tricked | 52c | 131.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Sinners | 64c | 130.67$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.35 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Sinners | 21c | 98.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Tricked | 41c | 81.55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.78 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…2810backed Sinners | 68c | 72.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Tricked | 28c | 71.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Sinners | 63c | 50.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Sinners | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Sinners | 67c | 49.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Tricked | 35c | 48.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Tricked | 26c | 45.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 199 | 49.7%99 W · 100 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked Sinners | 49c | 37.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tricked | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Sinners | 56c | 35.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Tricked | 34c | 30.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Sinners | 68c | 28.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Tricked | 57c | 28.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…030cbacked Sinners | 43c | 28.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…6237backed Sinners | 58c | 17.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Sinners | 71c | 15.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group StageTricked won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Tricked - Map 1 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.