TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: K27 vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
K27of K27, Inner Circle Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,429 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports33c3,093$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,022.547,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed K2758c2,816$1,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.955,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Inner Circle Esports46c2,814$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.884454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ab…13a1backed K2768c2,715$1,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.56747.8%32 W · 35 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked K2772c2,536$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.763,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0e…ad94backed K2762c2,012$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.3111365.5%74 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Inner Circle Esports31c1,801$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.276,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked K2762c1,487$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.542,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Inner Circle Esports39c1,439$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.7956732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed Inner Circle Esports33c1,216$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.5480744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports39c1,013$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.845,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked K2754c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46024538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Inner Circle Esports32c802.92$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.0555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc22…5738backed K2760c674.76$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.61844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed K2760c611.56$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.894,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Inner Circle Esports3c575$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.551,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Inner Circle Esports40c480.11$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8834542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0133…64bcbacked K2774c474.3$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.753265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c67…e40ebacked Inner Circle Esports37c453$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.2119642.9%84 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked K2759c426.74$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.749457.4%54 W · 40 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b12…43c8backed Inner Circle Esports45c419$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.386836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x873f…168abacked K2765c410.24$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b8…cdb5backed Inner Circle Esports38c405.22$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.51616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.42per pick59cpaid-78.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Inner Circle Esports48c383.15$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.316038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde64…a821backed K2759c370.83$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.1862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked K2755c363.17$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.5616738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Inner Circle Esports38c355.52$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.291,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x974a…98c3backed Inner Circle Esports46c347$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.622556%14 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Inner Circle Esports45c335.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…62d6backed Inner Circle Esports45c316.39$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed K2764c312.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.681250%6 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Inner Circle Esports10c299.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed K2765c296$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5427443.1%118 W · 156 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Inner Circle Esports41c290.53$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.129027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x765d…610bbacked K2757c284.39$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.29875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked Inner Circle Esports42c267$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.212946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Inner Circle Esports39c260.53$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.782,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Inner Circle Esports48c250.91$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9252750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Inner Circle Esports41c249.99$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.535848.3%173 W · 185 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Inner Circle Esports48c242.4$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3533237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Inner Circle Esports32c226.06$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.68733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed K2761c197.33$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.911,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed K2771c193$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3946344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf8…1e82backed Inner Circle Esports42c191$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.226854.4%37 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Inner Circle Esports58c189.27$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.081,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Inner Circle Esports16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3043933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Inner Circle Esports39c184.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.91,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed K2741c181.86$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.861931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc793…f66fbacked Inner Circle Esports43c169.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.974131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed K2768c153$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8824747%116 W · 131 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Inner Circle Esports38c152.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1845639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Inner Circle Esports42c150$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6316846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x239d…d21cbacked Inner Circle Esports40c133.87$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.76616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-73.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d24…6564backed Inner Circle Esports42c133.67$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.63357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Inner Circle Esports39c130$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.93548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…d3b8backed Inner Circle Esports42c126.02$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.924261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Inner Circle Esports34c124.88$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.881,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed K2749c116.72$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9813436.6%49 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Inner Circle Esports38c114.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.131,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0e…13aabacked K2750c112.91$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4615638.5%60 W · 96 L-19.6wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Inner Circle Esports34c111.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6352755.8%294 W · 233 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf0b…7cccbacked Inner Circle Esports46c108.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045450.2%228 W · 226 L-12.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed K2755c108.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3662350.9%317 W · 306 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Inner Circle Esports43c106.25$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.172951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked K2756c106.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.692,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed K2757c103$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2939239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked Inner Circle Esports31c100.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.341,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed K2759c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5b2…26b9backed Inner Circle Esports35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked K2765c98$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2854346.2%251 W · 292 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Inner Circle Esports35c96.19$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2895849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed K2767c92$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.511,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed K2768c88$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7229244.5%130 W · 162 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Inner Circle Esports46c86.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x931c…bf4bbacked Inner Circle Esports39c85.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7832351.4%166 W · 157 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked K2760c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3325753.7%138 W · 119 L-20.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Inner Circle Esports55c81$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7929647.6%141 W · 155 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked K2762c81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7818063.9%115 W · 65 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Inner Circle Esports35c79.07$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.632,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked K2759c79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7560147.4%285 W · 316 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f71…9a06backed K2777c77.42$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.42875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0358…30e2backed K2757c75$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.253381.8%27 W · 6 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbdca…3e35backed Inner Circle Esports43c73.52$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.952458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports37c72.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.433,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked K2766c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1748948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb367…629dbacked K2775c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Inner Circle Esports43c64.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.851752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bcf…75c6backed Inner Circle Esports23c64.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153622.2%8 W · 28 L-5.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-55.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaa74…3067backed Inner Circle Esports30c63.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f95…6972backed K2760c61.88$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.91225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Inner Circle Esports43c61.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5987244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x461c…f74bbacked Inner Circle Esports42c58.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520145.8%92 W · 109 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed K2760c51.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8810956.9%62 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Inner Circle Esports42c51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4279951.7%413 W · 386 L+25.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed K2759c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.8549766.8%332 W · 165 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Inner Circle Esports42c50.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4296543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed K2775c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.561054.9%335 W · 275 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Inner Circle Esports41c49.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.524633.3%82 W · 164 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle Esports36c48.76$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.762,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x95cc…3533backed K2771c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.258664%55 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.