TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 19.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,355

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,355 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb4b0…b914backed Yes58c346.27$200 inLost-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a9…592dbacked Yes57c300$171 inLost-$1714761.7%29 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No43c273$118 inWon+$155.2420741.1%85 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4248…d43fbacked No44c200$88 inWon+$1122937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked No49c189$92 inWon+$96.9917547.4%83 W · 92 L-13.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x409b…bbffbacked Yes48c99.97$48 inLost-$47.983253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7310…2b8fbacked No58c86.03$50 inWon+$36.031030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-41.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c82.46$36 inWon+$46.674,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No38c75.27$29 inWon+$46.6779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Yes56c71.11$40 inLost-$4034849.7%173 W · 175 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb7f3…e279backed Yes54c40$22 inLost-$21.65639.3%22 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked No46c36.96$17 inWon+$19.9671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes61c29.51$18 inLost-$1810844.4%48 W · 60 L-7.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.