Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3443221165e6f9ca8cc6c47a994a06ca1c3d77426e84e31984dc5cfec9e913d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 49c | 13,080$6,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,436.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 9,478$5,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,086.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 46c | 7,393$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,971.2 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 35c | 4,159$1,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.93 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 50c | 3,439$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.19 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +109%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 70c | 1,437$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.22 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 37c | 1,250$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.5 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 65c | 1,244$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.01 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…ec9ebacked Under | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…169bbacked Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…cb76backed Over | 51c | 979.18$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 802.64$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.81 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 37c | 675$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.25 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 45c | 510.74$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.74 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 31c | 461.14$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 63c | 447.09$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.09 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Over | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8d…150bbacked Over | 47c | 425.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 402.2$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.39 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 34c | 392.9$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.9 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 297.29$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.56 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 37c | 292.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.08 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Over | 62c | 225.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 41c | 194.25$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 59c | 177.25$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 69c | 167$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Under | 66c | 151.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f6…8160backed Over | 49c | 149.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 69c | 146.93$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 51c | 120.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a80…49bfbacked Over | 55c | 118.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 64c | 116$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 58c | 109.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 37c | 107.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.94 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 43c | 105.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Under | 51c | 104.44$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 68c | 89.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Under | 63c | 88.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 86.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 31c | 85.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Over | 60c | 84.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 50c | 79.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 35c | 71.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked Under | 60c | 70.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 37c | 68.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…8434backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +354%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 54c | 62.96$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 54c | 55.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 47.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Under | 39c | 41.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…5e83backed Over | 70c | 35.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Under | 33c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -60%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Over | 69c | 32.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 32.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…d33ebacked Over | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bca…24aebacked Over | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 66c | 27.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 87 | 82.8%72 W · 15 L | +10.5wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 50c | 22.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a3…1701backed Over | 67c | 20.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…be48backed Under | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5this page
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.