Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2d82708f9b492518ac1a8001e66c47047e103a3d75e828de48a09bb5f9a7d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SC Bragaof FC Porto, SC Braga
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,380 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed FC Porto | 22c | 1,993$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked SC Braga | 79c | 1,306$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.03 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked FC Porto | 11c | 1,250$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.63 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed SC Braga | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…25e3backed FC Porto | 12c | 291.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked FC Porto | 19c | 211.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked SC Braga | 78c | 191.97$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed SC Braga | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed FC Porto | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed SC Braga | 80c | 76$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked FC Porto | 18c | 65.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed FC Porto | 19c | 57.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed FC Porto | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed SC Braga | 29c | 39.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +3.9wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +497.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked SC Braga | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5Under won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.