Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94e892c9ed021a2eba8140e837ac34275525317b6c73678721b5a172d6a6273a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,022 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Over | 5c | 20,263$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.97 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 22c | 2,980$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.49 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 6c | 2,947$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 77c | 1,353$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 23c | 1,304$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 16c | 1,249$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.33 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…fe68backed Over | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 8c | 828$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 30c | 718$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.05 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 78c | 625$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed73…8f5abacked Under | 73c | 470.52$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…54bebacked Over | 27c | 470.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7efb…add5backed Over | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…80a7backed Over | 10c | 395.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fcc4backed Over | 27c | 357.77$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…6c45backed Under | 73c | 357.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 341.89$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.57 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Under | 80c | 304$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Under | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 28c | 238.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 21c | 224.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 23c | 217.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 79c | 214$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb106…214bbacked Over | 7c | 188.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Under | 78c | 166.67$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 32c | 157.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 71c | 151$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 77c | 132.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 15c | 123.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 28c | 111.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 223 | 33.2%74 W · 149 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 78c | 111$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Over | 20c | 100.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Over | 16c | 91.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 71c | 68.97$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 21c | 52.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 32c | 47.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 78c | 46.69$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 79c | 44.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…1e75backed Over | 34c | 42.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…02d6backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 78c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 108 | 54.6%59 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Under | 78c | 25.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)SC Braga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.