La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc28afda3e1b866218566d81645341fe747f7ea20ea205579360d42528821e937
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,327 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 24c | 3,630$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.7 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 75c | 1,849$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.96 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 71c | 1,584$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.3 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 29c | 1,422$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.96 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 29c | 620.28$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.88 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 71c | 577.46$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.46 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 19c | 480.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 72c | 416.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.74 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 18c | 321.13$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 71c | 319.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 28c | 257.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 28c | 249.36$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 6c | 221.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 169.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 27c | 161.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…ab75backed Over | 73c | 101.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 19c | 95.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 27c | 73.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Under | 30c | 73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 70.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…df2fbacked Under | 21c | 70.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 28c | 63.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Over | 73c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 27c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 71c | 38.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 307 | 49.2%151 W · 156 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Under | 28c | 35.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f60…257cbacked Over | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…3243backed Over | 65c | 29.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 77c | 16.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Barcelona vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)FC Barcelona won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)FC Barcelona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.