Other European Leagues · resolved market
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfae9eb8f935e9d30b298be5b08df45f70b38f0a39ef8f861b225eef55db9e001
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 9c | 9,758$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 9c | 3,891$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 23c | 2,054$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.85 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x123f…8d5fbacked Over | 27c | 1,073$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.77 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 9c | 985.61$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 26c | 983.32$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.66 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 5c | 946.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 880.96$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 74c | 727.62$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.18 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 5c | 658.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 11c | 571.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 305 | 50.8%155 W · 150 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 10c | 466.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Over | 19c | 382.42$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 26c | 285.44$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…0c5abacked Over | 26c | 269.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 11c | 241.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 139.14$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 77c | 120.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…8df4backed Under | 74c | 81.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 78c | 72.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 75c | 54.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Over | 26c | 53.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 75c | 52.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 77c | 48.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 74c | 35.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 80c | 33.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 74c | 30.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cd…ed53backed Under | 76c | 29.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -4.5wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 75c | 24.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 74c | 24.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 74c | 21.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 79c | 20.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under | 75c | 19.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Under | 76c | 19.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Under | 79c | 18.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 75c | 14.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 47 | 89.4%42 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 80cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 4.5this page
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: AIK O/U 0.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 0.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 1.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 2.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.