Other European Leagues · resolved market
BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46bcdaf6d595270254169e3096e7f072cb3e69ee5b6880735abb49948907316a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 3c | 7,457$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,248.44 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 51c | 4,161$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.16 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 28c | 1,516$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.2 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef04…f6e3backed Under | 73c | 1,221$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 56c | 1,159$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.06 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 981.12$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.26 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed Over | 16c | 799.99$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 596.51$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 71c | 406.7$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.93 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 3c | 386.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.68 | 187 | 40.1%75 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc35b…6eb2backed Over | 72c | 348.87$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Over | 44c | 341.52$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…545bbacked Under | 73c | 305.88$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 32c | 302.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 70c | 300$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 76c | 271.19$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.1wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 33c | 200.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8955…3a83backed Under | 53c | 188.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Over | 26c | 165.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…71e4backed Over | 75c | 147.28$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.46 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 46c | 140.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 78c | 129$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…2032backed Over | 46c | 125.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 23c | 116.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…6be7backed Over | 16c | 94.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 93.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 53c | 93.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 58c | 91.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 18c | 88.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 56c | 72.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 29c | 68.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x151b…a686backed Over | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 36cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 76c | 53.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 51c | 52.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…79cfbacked Under | 38c | 47.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +240.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac6…f11dbacked Under | 56c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 70c | 39.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Under | 71c | 39.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 62c | 32.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 62c | 27.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 50c | 27.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 76c | 15.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 0.5this page
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: AIK O/U 0.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: AIK O/U 1.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 1.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 2.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 3.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 4.5Under won
- BK Hacken vs. AIK: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: AIK (-1.5)BK Hacken won
- Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)AIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.