TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,294

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over64c5,950$3,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,148.3619044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under50c4,066$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.575050%25 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under36c2,431$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.5897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under38c1,930$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.7877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under37c1,081$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over63c1,002$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.592138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over27c999.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.998540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2af9…ce6abacked Over32c933.55$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.22475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over50c888.62$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.13,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under39c767.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over66c637$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.586662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over26c564.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.375337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+24.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74d0…de45backed Under55c538.09$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.953243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over28c535.71$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.716222.6%14 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over44c511.53$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.532133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over64c468.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.751866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c463.39$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3587154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over43c422$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.547364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under36c358$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.941,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under37c354.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3278344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e3e…7857backed Under73c352.93$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-55.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c349.63$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4224046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under39c326.91$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.799652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under36c313.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.84740.4%19 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over62c299.98$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.99580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+43.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under36c287$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3213046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under44c232.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Over45c214.23$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.232458.3%14 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+74.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under36c184.74$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.282927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over65c182.19$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6236051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6996…cf9abacked Over27c159.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.791833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+45.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a1f…eb43backed Over42c145.42$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over68c126$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.630444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under36c117.12$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3819255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over45c111$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.521,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c108.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2246156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under36c106.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3412849.2%63 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c106.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0839234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under44c104.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72d3…cbf2backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under74c95.61$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7522263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over63c95.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.351361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over25c92.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7496756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under36c88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.99245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.658465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under58c78.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4823350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over58c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.669250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2512254.9%67 W · 55 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c68.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0472850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…1749backed Under33c67.06$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over48c65.58$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.895569.1%38 W · 17 L+7.0wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over74c65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.915458.4%90 W · 64 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under31c58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9828851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over39c51.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.14348.8%21 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x961a…e91cbacked Over45c50.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.551560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.511441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fc4…7ae7backed Under74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked Under44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.58853.4%47 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Under37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.59652.1%50 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.510353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over79c49.63$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.4215458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under35c48.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.121822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Over64c47.06$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.94757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb5…eb9fbacked Over45c46.75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over61c44.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2419056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.487245.8%33 W · 39 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.324669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.069758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over80c37.58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5218774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xe4a1…3a92backed Under56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…e628backed Over35c35.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed Over74c32.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.452544%11 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over74c32.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.459452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked Over74c32.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.453661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.755459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over65c30.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5829460.5%178 W · 116 L+36.5wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+34.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Over40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over62c22.73$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.646555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3410249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x938c…8df4backed Under80c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1620%0 W · 2 L-1.6wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Over64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.26256.5%35 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33eb…b07ebacked Under53c19.23$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.192378.3%18 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Over57c18.06$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.765641.1%23 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-13.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over71c17.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1930957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…f4cabacked Over76c14.44$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.