Mls · resolved market
Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa774c904b8173a4aa16a76b7d43ad5590c140c797fad77a32dbd6f502f6d328e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,272
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,272 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Yes | 58c | 1,700$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.99 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 42c | 1,317$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.09 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 751.77$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.49 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1045…06c8backed Yes | 38c | 664.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.62 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 647.06$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.11 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 46c | 646.64$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.1 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 60c | 169.63$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…698cbacked Yes | 40c | 149.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Yes | 60c | 101.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 96.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.74 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 61c | 91.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked No | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 61c | 74.93$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 39c | 74.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 68c | 73.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 461 | 56.2%259 W · 202 L | +13.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 67.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 39c | 55.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 61c | 54.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Yes | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 44.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 46c | 43.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9db…dd44backed Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Yes | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 58c | 29.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 58c | 25.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 61c | 24.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…15a9backed Yes | 60c | 20.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…a781backed Yes | 61c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 68c | 14.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 1.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5Over won
- Los Angeles FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: Los Angeles FC (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-1.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
- Spread: San Jose Earthquakes (-2.5)San Jose Earthquakes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.