Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37dec8be67f82ee674f7f7c3d7aca53b684d8c0efba9b863a22b48fbcf9814f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 31c | 5,729$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.95 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 23c | 3,415$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.98 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 1,923$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,830$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 1,268$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 1,256$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.34 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 824.35$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.69 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 792.33$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 21c | 508.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 77 | 75.3%58 W · 19 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 75c | 489.02$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 481.64$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 481.64$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.02 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 78c | 471$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 77c | 428.92$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.33 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 77c | 428.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 77c | 428.33$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 418.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked No | 78c | 418.13$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 22c | 363$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 75c | 350.18$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.69 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 30c | 348.49$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.77 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 246.76$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed No | 79c | 241.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 228.52$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 21c | 199.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked Yes | 21c | 197.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 12c | 189.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 25c | 182.61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 181$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed No | 77c | 178.19$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 76c | 174.27$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Yes | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed No | 35c | 151.41$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 206 | 32%66 W · 140 L | -17.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 76c | 144.4$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 19c | 144.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 69c | 136.98$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 76c | 132.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 22c | 108$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 23c | 102$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 79c | 100.84$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce7…cc16backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 80.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 47c | 74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 57c | 72.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked No | 35c | 72.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 29c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 79c | 63.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed No | 77c | 51.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ba…289cbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 30c | 49.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 25c | 48.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 67c | 33.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…a64fbacked No | 79c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd499…7d5bbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…fbd1backed Yes | 69c | 26.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +181%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 78c | 25.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 76c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 76c | 23.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 77c | 20.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 80c | 19.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 79c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 16.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…8df4backed No | 79c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed No | 76c | 15.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 75c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will FC København win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will Randers FC vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.