Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x419c29668f662d4898fe577f09493ad9db0f9fbc1eeea945ba74c14151a8cd30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 13c | 3,066$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.2 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 1,270$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.29 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…206dbacked Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f54…74b4backed Yes | 7c | 356.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 330$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.48 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 329.59$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.02 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…fbd1backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +181%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.71 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 252.78$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 18c | 222.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked No | 17c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Yes | 39c | 150$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 44c | 147$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 73c | 142.52$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.04 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 56c | 141.44$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.38 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 111.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 46c | 108.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 50c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 188 | 52.7%99 W · 89 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…8ddabacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f8…5feabacked Yes | 56c | 98.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c3…2020backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 84.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 48c | 68.97$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 49c | 62.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 55c | 58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 98 | 65.3%64 W · 34 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Yes | 37c | 56.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 34c | 56.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 47.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 78 | 59%46 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 44c | 41.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.39 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d8…0fd3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 46c | 21.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 75c | 19.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 19.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 68c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 135 | 42.2%57 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will Randers FC vs. FC København end in a draw?No won
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.