Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC vs. FC København end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0627d4b3c63fea66aa402b93465fdbdd49d7ec2aafde7352773fe1d7d794b3c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,608
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,608 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 40c | 4,784$1,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.44 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 4,245$2,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.49 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 42c | 3,126$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.92 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 2,979$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 21c | 1,905$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 1,054$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 712.76$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.31 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 70c | 400.57$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.26 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 342.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.64 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 78c | 321.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 306.45$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.13 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 76c | 300.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 76c | 300.61$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 76c | 300.37$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.95 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 71c | 296.26$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 25c | 279$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 75c | 279$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 188 | 49.5%93 W · 95 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2db…236fbacked Yes | 26c | 204.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…ceeebacked Yes | 16c | 156$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 21c | 133.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 72c | 128.2$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 13c | 104.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed No | 67c | 91.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 98 | 69.4%68 W · 30 L | +16.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 18c | 85.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 60.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Yes | 59c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Yes | 26c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64af…748dbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 74c | 40.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed No | 69c | 30.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 42c | 28.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 43c | 28.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked No | 42c | 25.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 77c | 21.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 62c | 18.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked No | 69c | 16.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC vs. FC København end in a draw?this page
- Will FC København win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.