South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd19ad3eb043645b39831bdbe31d3a8bf234b3761cedd0589de4ac719fc5c7b1f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05ab…bf47backed Yes | 45c | 1,347$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 55c | 954.94$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.72 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 55c | 782.98$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.34 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 43c | 634.88$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 38c | 609$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.42 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 583.45$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d7…fcbbbacked Yes | 19c | 464.77$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 58c | 455.5$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 451.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 37c | 434.96$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.54 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 429.89$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.81 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 334.13$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 37c | 306$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.22 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 404 | 42.1%170 W · 234 L | -12.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 239.24$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.25 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 9c | 215.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 59c | 198$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.7 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 47c | 193.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.96 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 56c | 174.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.69 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 32c | 146.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 199 | 53.3%106 W · 93 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 67c | 137.66$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.92 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Yes | 50c | 137.64$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 37c | 107.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…51abbacked No | 69c | 95.69$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 46 | 80.4%37 W · 9 L | +14.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +114.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 91.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed No | 49c | 91.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 56c | 91.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 29c | 77.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 52c | 73.85$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 63c | 71.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 64c | 61.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 62c | 59.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 68c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 59c | 35.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 55c | 30.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed No | 57c | 28.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Yes | 44c | 25.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 63c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 61c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Tigre win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre end in a draw?No won
- Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.